“The Katrugalu issue was a dramatic event that determined the elections,” says election analyst Andreas Drimiotis in an interview with Kathimerini. explaining how the result was formed, in particular the fact that N.D. earned more than double his stake SYRIZAwhich the polls did not predict. In the latest summary survey presented by ERT last Friday, the ND-SYRIZA difference fluctuated around 6 points, while PASOK was below 10%. But a former labor secretary’s announcement that SYRIZA plans to restore premiums to 20% served as a catalyst in the final three 24 hours before the two-tier vote. First, it caused an immediate move from SYRIZA to N.D. (but also in the direction of PASOK) and, secondly, it prompted most of the undecided to choose ND. “The management of the Katrugalu issue was worse than the substance of the issue,” Mr. Drimiotis adds, explaining that his hasty removal from the ballot increased citizens’ suspicions that there was a dual agenda, dual language and hidden agendas in Kumunduru. “It also played a role that the “mistake” was made at the last moment, there was no time to digest and forget, as happened with other issues,” Mr. Drimiotis adds.

Clear victory

Information about her clear victory New Republic and for his retreat SYRIZA well below 30% (he received 31.53% in the 2019 national election) were mailed as of Sunday afternoon to party headquarters. In SYRIZA, the feeling of heavy defeat that had been established since the beginning of the week grew into confidence. There was such a jubilant atmosphere in Harilau-Trikoupi that if the observer did not know the big picture, he might have the impression that the party had won the election. Increasing his speed PASOK in relation to the 2019 elections (8.1%) is interpreted as the success of Androulakis’s leadership.

“The management of the issue was worse than the substance of the issue,” explains election analyst Andreas Drimiotis.

Sedimentation

According to classified information, in its original sample poll at the exit there was evidence that SYRIZA was down by almost 20%, but there was disagreement among the representatives of the six companies as to whether these figures reflect reality or are the result of randomness in the sample, which should have been “weighted” more correctly. In the end, it was decided not to accept such a dangerous prediction, which would cause a great political backlash. However, the 20-point difference, not seen in an election since 1974, turned out to be quite real.

In an exit poll conducted jointly by Alco, Marc, Metron Analysis, MRB, Pulse and GPO, in 80% of the sample, parties initially received the following percentages: N.A.: 36%-40%, SYRIZA: 25%-29%, PASOK: 9.5%-12.5%, KKE: 6%-8%, Greek Solution: 3.5%-5.5%, MERA25: 2.5%-4.5%, Freedom Sailing: 2, 2%-4.2%. Then, over the next hour, as the actual results began to gather, the exit poll forecast was revised as follows: N.D.: 37.5%-41%, SYRIZA: 23.5%-27.8%, PASOK: 11.5 %-12.5%, CNG. : 6.5%-7.5%, Hellenic Solution: 4.3%-5.3% and MeRA25, Freedom Sailing and NIKI are on the verge of entering parliament. As a result, three small parties did not cross the threshold of parliament. At the same time, N.D. he scored his biggest win since 1974, SYRIZA his biggest defeat since 2009, and PASOK returned to double digits for the first time since 2012.