It probably went unnoticed that about a week ago Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, while touring Didymoticho and Orestiada, for the first time frankly mentioned small parties to N.D.’s right. “I know there are a few people here in Northern Greece who may be ‘changing’ towards different parties, factions or plans to the right of New Democracy,” the prime minister said to ND leaders and voters. remind them “who are patriots in words and who are real patriots in deed”. A few days later, from Ioannina, the prime minister used rhetoric in several parts of his speech aimed at the conservative audience on the right of Northern Denmark, the safe Greece of 2023.”

The question is clear: when we go to the elections, how will the ND succeed? serve its main strategic goal of dominating the center without alienating the right-wing audience. The analyzes that reach Maximos show that ND has lost contact with the figure moving along the outskirts on the right. The percentage that he can, according to calculations, “repatriate” is, as all qualitative data show, from 1.5% to 2.5%, which is important in order to get closer to the May 21 target. An election analyst tells K that 32% and 34% are completely different, as they form two completely different political scenes. Therefore, the messages of Mr. Mitsotakis both in Didymoteicho and in Ioannina serve to limit the small right-wing parties.

In Megaron Maximos, they asked themselves a simpler question: what is Law today? The answer has changed from the previous one, as it does not include rigid ideological traits such as anti-communism, but more mundane issues. “Security, both individual and family, as well as national, legality issues at universities and control of illegal immigration are very high on the agenda of the right today,” says a government official in K. However, in the same context, the activation of traditional reflexes at the base of N.D. and beyond that, Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’ double attack on George Papandreou, both in Lamia and Ioannina, should be included, reminding us that the slogan “either we change or we drown” ended up in the second version.

If there is any fear in the government before the first elections, it is the protest vote or abstention. Qualitative measurements taken show that right-wing voters who do not intend to vote for SYRIZA can “punish” the government by either voting for a small protest party or abstaining.

The percentage that could be “repatriated” by N.D. on the right, as all qualitative data show, from 1.5% to 2.5%.

Although the prime minister, in his speech in Ioannina, asked everyone to forget about the second round of voting and focus on the elections on May 21, it is clear that this tactic is aimed between two rounds. If the difference between ND and SYRIZA is small, then the expectation is expressed that collective reflexes will work “under fear of the return of Tsipras”. We will try to keep in touch with the conservative public by insistently referring to what the New Democracy government has done in these four years: the handling of the Euros in 2020, the reduction of migration flows, the strengthening of the Armed Forces and, finally, the “gift” of SYRIZA, which opposed the expansion fence, are key arguments for the government. What happens next for the party of Ilias Kasidiaris and whether it finally gets the green light from the Supreme Court will also be decisive. However, several measurements show that Casidiaris voters find it easier to move to SYRIZA under the logic of anti-systemic voting than to ND.

The prime minister will actually deploy his tactics in two directions that are not considered asymptomatic. “The reality is that we are appealing to the logic that does not want the country to be an open vineyard. Compliance with the law is a common cause, ”the official explains to“ K ”.