Strange things are happening in the United States. The House Investigative Committee on Unprecedented Aberrations on January 6, 2021 at the Capitol reminds citizens every day of Donald Trump’s leading role in one of the darkest days of the American Republic. Georgia Justice is questioning personal attorney Rudy Giuliani about collusion in an attempt to overturn the election results in his duel with Joe Biden in 2020. business evasion and fraud while FBI agents search the 45th President’s residence in Mar-a-Lago, Florida for secret documents he is said to have taken with him when he left the White House.

And while all of this is happening, a politically daring Trump is dramatically increasing his influence within the Republican Party as his voters defeat their rivals in intra-partisan primaries ahead of next November’s pivotal congressional election, rekindling his ambitions for a spectacular rematch. in 2024. presidential battle.

The most notable event was last Tuesday’s Wyoming primary, where Liz Cheney and Harriet Hageman fought for the Republican nomination to Congress. The former is the scion of a family that made Wyoming their political home for half a century when her father, Dick Cheney, began his political career. Oil tycoon Halliburton, Cheney served in the White House under the Nixon and Ford administrations, served as secretary of defense, and became America’s most powerful vice president under George W. Bush. Building on that legacy, Liz Cheney until recently held third place in the Republican hierarchy in the House of Representatives.

In last Tuesday’s primary, she faced off against a politically inexperienced lawyer from Saguenay, a provincial town of just 60,000 whose only asset was supporting Donald Trump. The result was stunning as Hageman won with a 66% percentage to her opponent’s 29%. I salute and celebrate the victory of Donald Trump, who considered Cheney his sworn enemy. The 56-year-old congresswoman voted to impeach him for his followers’ bloody raid on the Capitol, and she even took over as vice chair of the House Investigative Committee on the issue.

Her case was not unique. Of the 10 Republican MPs who voted to impeach Trump, only two managed to win the primary. Trump’s candidates are leading domestic Republican contests for all positions to be determined in November, according to a report by France’s Le Monde. So far, they have won 15 of 20 gubernatorial elections (with two state primaries remaining) and 18 of 21 senatorial races. Even more spectacular were the primaries for the nomination of a candidate for congress: here, out of 140 Trump candidates, only five were defeated, and contests in six states remain.

Legal investigations against the former president are risky, as they rally around him most of the conservative-minded voters.

The conclusion is inevitable for anyone who has eyes to see. Trump’s shocking victory in 2016 was not a historical accident in an otherwise healthy America, but a clear symptom of a deeper and more persistent pathology, a growing popular current that is turning me against the political establishment in a reactionary position. It was not Trump himself who created this trend, but the one who managed at this particular moment to express it and turn it into a means of his meteoric rise, taking advantage of the fact that in the 2016 contest he was lucky enough to face one of the most typical representatives of the arrogant, completely divorced from the popular layers establishment Hillary Clinton.

Sarks in the flesh of the political establishment, Liz Cheney is light-years away from the portrait of the virtuous anti-Trump martyr that the mainstream media has created for her. A politician who a week ago urged Democratic voters to vote for her in internal party elections… Republicans in 2019 described their party as a faction of “anti-Semitism, infanticide and socialism.” As a congressman, he supported Trump’s line with 93% of the vote, hailed the Supreme Court’s decision to green-light the abortion ban, and all of America’s wars in recent decades.

Candidate – kamikaze

After the accident, she said she was considering running for president in the 2024 election, but no serious analyst in America believes she has even the slightest chance of winning. Perhaps someone is pushing her to play the role of a kamikaze candidate who knows she will lose but is eager to take Trump with her.

The biggest obstacle to Trump’s vindictive comeback ambitions is not Cheney-style anger and the machinations of a perverted McConnell-Pence-style Republican establishment that no longer controls its own party, but a string of prosecutions that is getting narrower. But this is a high political risk operation for responsible Attorney General Merrick Garland and for Democrats in general. Garland’s decision to conduct an FBI raid on the former president’s residence under the Espionage Act of 1917 is boosting Trump’s popularity and could backfire if the public isn’t convinced enough.

Moreover, the authorities have so far refused to release the sworn testimony on which the scandalous investigation was based, despite the fact that the most influential American media (New York Times, Washington Post, Associated Press, CNN) asked for it. , Wall Street Journal, etc.). The picture remains very fluid and the coming weeks will be critical. For now, even Trump’s potential rivals for the presidency, such as Florida Gov. Ron de Sandys, are forced to identify with him, accusing Garland and the FBI of turning America into a “banana republic.”

November battle

As interesting as they are to the future Republicans and Trump himself, the primaries are not expected to have much of an impact on November’s congressional battle. Here it is difficult to change the long-established tendencies of the electorate. In the House of Representatives, the most likely scenario is that the Democrats lose their tiny majority and Trump dominates, seeking to end the investigation into the events of January 6, 2021. In the Senate, the Democrats are lucky, like most of the seats that are being played this year, are occupied by the Republicans, who, nevertheless, have high hopes for changing the current 50-50 margin in their favor. Unfortunately for Democrats, the buzz surrounding the FBI’s controversial Mar-a-Lago raid has brought Trump back into the spotlight and sidelined what may have been Joe Biden’s best week in office after passing a number of popular bills.