Russia may attack the territory of NATO member states “from 2026,” according to an analysis of military threats by German intelligence, Business Insider and European Truth reported. Ukrainian Pravda.

The reorganization of the Russian army, the movement of troops and the deployment of missiles in the western part of the country, as well as the increase in Russian weapons production, indicate that Russia is preparing for a major conflict with the West, according to an analysis of German intelligence.

According to a classified report, increased weapons production could double Russia’s military strength over the next five years compared to today, especially in conventional arms.

“It can no longer be ruled out that Russia will attack at least part of NATO territory “from 2026”, such as the Baltic states or Finland, says a report cited by Business Insider, which indicates that German agencies did not make such specific statements publicly.

Business Insider says NATO headquarters share concerns about Russia’s growing military capabilities and subsequent confrontations, but don’t see it necessarily leading to war.

Lt. Gen. Alexander Solfrank, commander of NATO’s military logistics center in southwest Germany, called on allies to remove the “red tape” that prevents the movement of troops and equipment, as well as the use of weapons and other equipment by other countries in the event of an emergency. great crisis

In particular, Business Insider refers to US intelligence estimates, which “in the medium term” do not see the danger of a Russian attack on NATO and believe that the Russian armed forces will need another five to eight years to restore the military power they had. had it before the invasion of Ukraine.

In January, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius warned that the war between Russia and Ukraine could spread to neighboring countries, but predicted that Vladimir Putin could invade the NATO country “in 5-8 years”.

“We hear threats from the Kremlin almost every day – most recently again against our friends in the Baltic states,” Pistorius said exactly one year after he took over as federal defense minister.

NATO Deputy Secretary General Mircea Joanne also reiterated on Saturday that we should prepare for at least a few more years of strained relations with Moscow..

Military Schengen in Europe

The biggest problem in NATO is bureaucracy regarding the movement of troops and equipment between member states.

For several years, NATO leaders had hoped to create a military equivalent of the Schengen zone, allowing visa-free travel between member countries.

Discussions are currently underway on the creation of “military corridors” in Europe, the results of which may be announced before the next NATO summit in July in Washington.

In late January, Germany, the Netherlands and Poland signed a deal aimed at cutting red tape that prevents the rapid cross-border movement of troops and weapons along one of the main corridors leading from the North Sea to NATO’s eastern flank.

Dutch Defense Minister Kaisa Ollongren said it was important to create the conditions for the rapid deployment of troops before the start of a potential conflict.

“Geography is what it is. This means that you should be able to move quickly from the Netherlands through Germany to Poland,” he stated.

We will remind you that on February 24, 2022, Russia launched an unfounded and unprovoked aggression against Ukraine, declaring that it was conducting a “special military operation for denazification” and protection of the Russian-speaking community in the neighboring country.

Russia’s economy is now at war, arms factories are operating 24 hours a day, and a third of government spending is now going to defense, forcing the government led by Mikhail Mishustin to spend almost 6.5 trillion rubles in the last 2 years from his budget on black days , National Welfare Fund.

The Russian state defense company Rostec, which is under Western sanctions, said in December 2023 that since the start of the war in Ukraine, it had increased its production of ammunition for small arms and rocket launchers by 50 times.

In addition, the corporation would increase the production of armored personnel carriers by 5.5 times and the production of battle tanks by seven times.

Putin has repeatedly called for an increase in the production of anti-aircraft, anti-battery equipment and, in particular, drones.