After Wagner Group head Yevgeny Prigozhin ended the “military mutiny” on Saturday as abruptly as he started it on Friday, international experts say he was provocative and critical of Russia, but on the other hand we don’t know that the goal was the end of Prigozhin, not if this uprising gathered around itself a larger movement of the masses.

According to Michael O’Hanlon, an expert at the Brookings Institution think tank quoted by the BBC, the agreement concluded by Prigozhin “makes sense” because the situation in Russia was “extremely risky” from the point of view of Wagner’s head. .

“The idea that Prigozhin could spark some kind of mass uprising against Putin is really a children’s story,” says O’Hanlon.

However, according to O’Hanlon, now is “an extremely critical and dangerous time” for Russia.

Several questions also remain, including what the terms of the deal negotiated with Prigozhin were and what his chances of survival are, O’Hanlon says.

Prigozhin had been planning a serious challenge for some time

U.S. intelligence officials believe Chief Wagner has been planning a serious challenge to Russia’s military leadership for some time, three people familiar with the matter told CNN, but it is unclear what the ultimate goal would be.

Intelligence officials briefed congressional leaders earlier this week about Wagner’s movements and stockpile of equipment near Russia, two of the people said.

U.S. and Western intelligence officials saw signs that Prigozhin was preparing for such a move, including stockpiling weapons and ammunition, a Western intelligence official and another person familiar with the information said.

The official said Prigozhin’s claims about the lack of ammunition for operations in Ukraine were a deliberate deception to help lay the groundwork for a potential military challenge to Russian leaders.

Another source said that “everything happened very quickly” and it is difficult to imagine how seriously Prigozhin takes the threat to the Russian army and where he is leading his troops.

It was by far the biggest challenge for President Vladimir Putin since he became president, and a Ukrainian defense official called the uprising “a sign of the collapse of the Putin regime.”

Zelensky even declared that he unleashed complete chaos in this country.

“Today the world sees that the masters of Russia do not manage anything. And it means nothing. Just complete chaos. Lack of any predictability,” Zelenskyy said in his late video speech.