When Lukashenka leaves – ChatGPT responds
In mid-March, the American company OpenAI announced a new – fourth – version of the ChatGPT chatbot, a generative artificial intelligence. GPT-4 is noticeably superior to previous versions of the chatbot, it can even better conduct conversations on complex topics, as well as compose stories, make presentations. Although the neural network supports Belarusian (noticeably worse) and Russian languages, the American chatbot is not available for users with Belarusian and Russian IP addresses. DW decided to ask the neural network some questions about politics, Lukashenka and Belarus.
“Lukashenko is a politician and former kolkhoz”
It is worth noting right away that both the free and paid version of the chatbot have information from September 2021. Data is collected from open sources in different languages, including books, scientific articles, news publications. But like any neural network, a chatbot learns in real time. When receiving clarifying questions from users, the neural network takes them into account, and in the future the answers may change. Even the controversial question of who is the president of Belarus.
DW: Who is the president of Belarus?
GPT-4: From 1994 to the present, Alexander Lukashenko has been the President of Belarus.
– Who is Alexander Lukashenko?
Alexander Lukashenko is a politician and former collective farmer who has ruled Belarus since 1994. He is one of the last remaining authoritarian leaders in Europe, ruling with a hard hand and restricting freedom of speech, assembly and other political freedoms.
– Who is Svetlana Tikhanovskaya?
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya is a Belarusian oppositionist who rose to prominence in 2020 as a candidate for the presidency of Belarus, leading Lithuania’s opposition after a disputed election and mass protests.
– Isn’t she the elected president of Belarus?
Svetlana Tikhanovskaya is not the official president of Belarus. Despite many Belarusians and international observers believing that she could have won the 2020 presidential election, the official election results declared incumbent President Alexander Lukashenko the winner. Tikhanovskaya and her supporters, as well as many international communities, consider these elections fraudulent and undemocratic.
– Thanks to what Lukashenka remained in power in 2020?
Thanks to the tough repressive measures, the support of Russia, the disunity of the opposition, the support of part of the population and the lack of a substitute.
– How would you describe Lukashenka’s figure in three words?
Authoritative, controversial, long-term.
– What about Svetlana Tikhanovskaya?
Bold, leader of the opposition, inspiring.
About the war in Ukraine and the nuclear weapons of the Russian Federation in Belarus
In general, the chatbot gives the impression of being a dry interlocutor and extremely cautious in its assessments. On political topics like a full-scale war in Ukraine or the deployment of Russian nuclear weapons in Belarus, ChatGPT only presents assumptions.
– Does Belarus participate in Russia’s war against Ukraine?
At the moment, that is, at the end of March 2023, there is no official information that Belarus is participating in the Russian war against Ukraine. Belarus officially declares its neutrality in the conflict and does not support any of the parties. However, relations between Belarus and Russia are traditionally close and experts do not exclude the possibility that Belarus could provide Russia with logistical and political support in the conflict.
– What consequences can Lukashenka expect if he deploys Russian nuclear weapons on the territory of Belarus?
This would be a violation of international law and international treaties on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons and could lead to serious consequences for Lukashenka and for Belarus as a whole. This can cause a backlash from the international community and lead to sanctions, including economic and political restrictions. Furthermore, such a move could also lead to increased tension in the region and become a source of threat to international security and peace.
“Relations between Lukashenka and Putin are complex but generally friendly”
It is too early to wait for a deep political analysis of Belarus-Russia relations from the chatbot – political scientists can sleep peacefully. But, relying on open data, GPT-4 can analyze it and draw conclusions about policy issues – both in detail and in summary.
– Is Belarus dependent on Russia?
Yes, Belarus is heavily dependent on Russia in many areas including economy, energy, politics and security. Russia is Belarus’s biggest trading partner and the Belarusian economy is heavily dependent on exports to Russia. Belarus also receives significant supplies of oil and gas from Russia at subsidized prices. In addition, countries maintain mutual political and military support, especially within the State of the Union framework.
– How do you evaluate the relationship between Lukashenka and Putin?
Relations between Lukashenka and Putin can be described as complicated but generally friendly. They cooperate in the field of economics, military and political cooperation. However, they have had disagreements in the past and there are sometimes tensions in the relationship.
When will Lukashenka leave?
Although the neural network is capable of making assumptions, unfortunately, it is not capable of providing guaranteed predictions for the future. And in her reviews, she sounds much more optimistic than what is happening in reality.
– How do you assess the current situation in Belarus, according to the data of 2023?
As an artificial intelligence, I can report that the situation in Belarus for 2023 remains complex and unpredictable. Restrictions on freedom of expression and assembly, repression and pressure on politicians, journalists and opposition activists continue, as well as the absence of a true political opposition and democratic institutions. Furthermore, Belarus remains dependent on Russian economic support and risks further isolation from the international community due to violations of human rights and democratic principles. However, as with any difficult situation, there is room for possible changes and improvements in the future.
– When will the war in Ukraine end?
Unfortunately, I cannot predict the future and say exactly when the war in Ukraine will end. It depends on many factors, including the political situation, international relations and the decisions of the parties to the conflict. However, I can say that the end of the war in Ukraine requires a political solution, peaceful negotiations and the resolution of all disputes between the warring parties.
– When will Lukashenka leave?
It is impossible to predict exactly when Lukashenka will step down as president, as this depends on a variety of political and social factors, as well as domestic and international dynamics.
Source: DW
Anna White is a journalist at 247 News Reel, where she writes on world news and current events. She is known for her insightful analysis and compelling storytelling. Anna’s articles have been widely read and shared, earning her a reputation as a talented and respected journalist. She delivers in-depth and accurate understanding of the world’s most pressing issues.