A Russian missile over NATO airspace is unlikely to trigger an escalation, according to the latest assessment by the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), published overnight Friday.
ISW “continues to assess with a high degree of confidence that Russian President Vladimir Putin does not wish to risk direct conflict with NATO.”
This assessment appeared after at least one Russian missile flew over the Republic of Moldova on Friday as part of a new wave of attacks on Ukraine. Ukrainian authorities claimed that two Kalibr cruise missiles also flew through Romanian airspace, but MApN said that this information was not true and that the closest trajectory was 35 kilometers from the Romanian border.
“Russia’s current campaign of missile strikes in support of its illegal invasion of Ukraine will continue to create peripheral risks outside of Ukraine, such as these overflights or the risk of air defense incidents (as in Poland on November 15, 2022),” the Institute said in a statement. notes
“However, ISW appreciates that NATO and its member states are in full control of their response and degree of escalation in response to accidental or deliberate Russian overflights or other provocations.
ISW also continues to assess with a high degree of confidence that Putin does not seek war with NATO and is unlikely to directly risk escalation,” the quoted assessment added.
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Source: Hot News
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