A new video shot in Russia’s Dagestan shows local women running away from a police officer during one of the anti-mobilization actions, but the map of protests shows less reason for optimism.

American journalist Julia Davis notes that the footage was shot in the city of Makhachikala, the capital of the Dagestan region in the Caucasus. Like neighboring Chechnya, the majority of Dagestan’s population is Muslim, with 83 percent of the region’s residents following the religion, according to the latest census.

A video that appeared on social media last week, showing several men arguing with an officer near an admissions office, was also filmed in Dagestan.

Another footage taken during protests in this region of southern Russia was redistributed by Kamil Galeev, a researcher at the Wilson Center who became famous after the outbreak of the war on February 24 for the many analyzes he published on how it would affect the domestic situation. in Russia.

Galeyev now says that despite the anti-mobilization protests that have erupted in dozens of Russian cities, the demonstrations will not significantly affect Vladimir Putin’s regime.

A Russian-born researcher says that after Putin ordered a partial mobilization last Wednesday, Russians have three options: comply, try to secretly sabotage it or protest.

He argues that most Russians will choose to comply, and in fact will stoically present mobilization and its acceptance as a virtue.

“The majority of Russians will not lift a finger so that their own children are not sent to the meat grinder. They will either accept [mobilizarea] stoically, or they could complain about the heavy sacrifices families have to make,” the researcher writes on his Twitter page.

What the map of anti-mobilization protests in Russia shows

Galeev refers to a map produced by the Institute for the Study of War in the United States, which shows the cities where anti-mobilization protests have erupted.

“What do these places have in common? Most of them are big cities, some of them are smaller. And yes, turbulence in cities is dangerous. Therefore, a total mobilization was launched in the countryside, especially in the remote peripheries of Russia, says the researcher.

He also states that even in large Siberian cities such as Novosibirsk and Krasnoyarsk, mobilization is partial, but in small villages in the Arctic region, all available men will be mobilized.

Galeyev notes that all law enforcement agencies and security forces in Russia are concentrated in Moscow, starting with the police and ending with the National Guard and the FSB.

The Russian researcher and journalist also reminds that this year the Moscow authorities disbanded the last security forces that were directly subordinated to the Russian governors, because “even a few dozen armed guys directly subordinated to the governor is too much.”

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