Israel will not be able to eliminate the threat from Palestinian groups based in the West Bank, just as it failed in the Gaza Strip, but neither will the young Palestinians put an end to the Israeli occupation, writes O Globo, quoted by Rador.

Civilians leave their homes in JeninPhoto: AA/ABACA / Abaca Press / Profimedia

The Jenin refugee camp has always been one of the main sites of Israeli operations in the West Bank. Monday’s operation is the largest Israeli action in the area in two decades. We cannot rule out the risk of escalation at this stage, even if it is not on the scale of the Intifada at the beginning of this century or the recent wars in Gaza.

Two factors could exacerbate the clash in such a volatile scenario as the current one. First, the current Israeli government led by Benjamin Netanyahu is the most extremist in the country’s history. Some of the most powerful members of the coalition are settlers who live in Jewish settlements in the Palestinian territories.

If they could, ultra-radical figures like ministers Itamar ben Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich would try to drive the Palestinians from Jenin to Jordan. They are restrained in their ambitions only because the Israeli military is aware of the risks of promoting what these Israeli extremists want.

The second problem concerns radicalized youth in places like the Jenin refugee camp and other areas like Nablus.

These young people form groups that are sometimes linked to traditional Palestinian movements such as Hamas and Fatah, but operate independently, planning their attacks on Israelis. Their members do not remember the times of the intifada. The Palestinian Authority, for its part, is still weakened in its efforts to contain them.

After all, Israel will not be able to eliminate the threat from Palestinian groups based in the West Bank, just as it has always failed in Gaza. Even these young Palestinians will not achieve the goal of ending the Israeli occupation.

In addition, settlements are becoming increasingly influential in Israeli politics, and the trend is to increase the number of settlements despite US pressure. At the same time, the Palestinians will not give up their dream of their own state.

What about the rest of the world? The US and almost all countries will continue to condemn the expansion of Jewish settlements in the West Bank and violence by Palestinian groups. At the same time, they will support the arguments in favor of a two-state solution.

This has been the case for the three decades since the Oslo Accords were signed, with the exception of a few interruptions, such as in the Trump administration, when the Americans did not oppose Israeli settlements in the occupied territories. History tends to repeat itself – in fact, Jenin was the scene of one of the bloodiest Israeli operations of the second intifada.

The problem, however, will be the future of the Palestinian Authority after Mahmoud Abbas, who has been in power for more than 15 years, writes O Globo, as quoted by Rador.