
Last year’s computer simulations showed how a possible failure of the dam in Novaya Kakhovka would cause widespread flooding along the banks of the Dnieper and its tributaries.
Computer simulations show how the failure of a dam in the upper reaches of the Dnipro River creates the risk of massive flooding along its banks to its mouth in the Black Sea.
A video simulation from 2022 gives an idea of the huge body of water that is now flowing down the Dnipro River after uD83CuDDF7uD83CuDDFA destroyed the Nova Hakivka dam. The southern occupied bank of the river will be flooded and the city of Kherson (Kherson) will be affected. #РоссияЕTerroristState https://t.co/XeYhJ8UGIa pic.twitter.com/qBXkgFyzgf
— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) June 6, 2023
As part of our work at DHI Slovakia, my colleague created a simple 2D hydrodynamic model of the Nova Hakovka dam breach. Here is the scale of the flood over time: pic.twitter.com/enphOhog5i
— Stanislav Grand (@StanGrand) June 6, 2023
They were carried out last year in the context of the fact that last November Russia and Ukraine began to accuse each other of plans to destroy a dam built on the Dnieper, the fourth largest in Europe.
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy then stated that the dam holds about 18 million cubic meters of water, and if it is blown up, it will quickly flood 80 settlements, including Kherson.
Modeling also shows that dam failure will very likely affect the currents of the Bug and Ingulets rivers. In fact, General Mark Gertling, the former commander of US forces in Europe, in turn spoke of this danger in a heated response after the dam was blown up.
Gertling also said the US military modeled different levels of downstream damage to calculate the effects, which were significant in each scenario.
“Cities on both sides of the river [Nipru] will suffer significant flooding within the next 24 hours,” the US official added, noting, however, that cities on the east/left bank (controlled by the Russians) would feel the brunt of the dam’s impact.
The first photos of the floods caused by the destruction of the dam in Nova Kakhovka
Videos of heavy water spilling after the destruction of a dam controlled by the Russian occupying forces began to appear on social networks from the very morning.
A several-hundred-meter piece of the Nova Kakhovka dam has disappeared, the Kakhovka reservoir is rapidly flowing into the Dnipro. pic.twitter.com/265i1nbvAO
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 6, 2023
In the video, which was broadcast by the Russian agency RIA Novosti, it can be seen that the water has already reached the center of Novaya Kakhovka, including a group of swans in front of the administrative building of the occupation authorities. The building seems to have been abandoned, but Russian flags remain on it.
Cities in Ukraine are being flooded already after the destruction of a key dam on the Dnieper. This is Nova Hakovka pic.twitter.com/zB4bjlG1o2
— Boyan Panchevsky (@bopanc) June 6, 2023
Regular shots from the city center broadcast by Russian mass media:
#LIMANNYA THE CITY OF NOVA HAKOVKA UNDER WATER AFTER THE BREAK OF THE DAM – TASS IS NAMED AFTER THE MAYOR OF RUSSIA pic.twitter.com/4Z7IoxeCsb
— Guy Elster (@guyelster) June 6, 2023
A separate record shows that the water has already reached the city of Kherson, which the Ukrainian army liberated on November 11 last year after six months of being under Russian occupation.
Kherson has already flooded.
Peak water is expected in 2 hours at 11:00 local time.
About 16,000 people were injured. They are being evacuated.
However, the situation is probably worse on the Russian-occupied left bank. It will be harder hit, limited communication. 1/ pic.twitter.com/Tu0tLxLlnP
— Timofey Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) June 6, 2023
Dramatic flood in Kherson
Other footage shows that Glory Park (“Glory Park”), which is located right on the banks of the Dnieper in Kherson, was completely flooded:
The current view of the garbage-strewn Dnipro from Glory Park in Kherson. pic.twitter.com/2wn84HbAkM
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 6, 2023
Update the park now flooding. pic.twitter.com/w5DdR5mWEk
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 6, 2023
A pretty good visualization of why much of the city of Kherson on the north bank of the Dnieper is much less at risk than the flatter south bank. pic.twitter.com/1pyfzlz5qj
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) June 6, 2023
Other destruction noticed by passers-by on the banks of the Dnieper:
Another day. Another war crime. Destruction of the dam in Nova Hakovka uD83DuDC47 pic.twitter.com/wBI05a7GBS
— Brooks Newmark uD83CuDF3B uD83CuDDFAuD83CuDDE6 (@BrooksNewmark) June 6, 2023
Ukraine and Russia blame each other for the destruction of the Nova Khakivka dam over fears that it could jeopardize the safety of Europe’s largest Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant. However, both Ukrainian and Russian officials assure that the situation is under control and nothing is in danger at the moment.
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Source: Hot News

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