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Election 2023: Fear of a third ballot box

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Election 2023: Fear of a third ballot box

On the eve of the third elections in the country and be tagged N.D. as a possible – and indirectly, but obviously catastrophic – scenario in the event of a decline in the electoral rating and a seven-party parliament, the countdown to the decisive elections on June 25 is now underway.

According to information, N.D. it will not make the possibility of new elections a “flag” for itself. However, it should be emphasized that this may become inevitable:

– After the May 21 elections, PASOK moved from a position of “yes to a cooperative government without Mitsotakis or Tsipras as prime minister” to completely refusing to participate in the government scheme, even if N.D. one or two seats short of the parliamentary majority.

– Mr. Mitsotakis has been saying since the previous pre-election period that he is not going to cooperate with the party that moves to the right of ND. or accept the support of individual deputies to get a vote of confidence in parliament.

In this sense, Mr. Mitsotakis’s interlocutors point out that it is extremely important that there is no relaxation or movement of voters due to the large difference between SYRIZA and ND. exceed the key percentage of 39% to ensure self-reliance, which will not be accompanied by an extremely weak parliamentary majority, since indeed the possibility of both Pobeda and Svoboda entering parliament has now become especially strong, and the percentage of outsiders to parliamentary parties is estimated to be significantly reduced. Also, they add, given the SYRIZA approach, which has its – vague – purpose of “refuting correlations” from the May 21 polls, there is currently no government proposal on the table other than the ND proposal.

In the context outlined above, although Mr. Mitsotakis has not yet opened his papers, it is considered certain that he will not have a telephone battle with Alexis Tsipras, and most likely, unlike the previous pre-election period, he will not engage in polemics with any political leaders. . Clearly, a televised standoff between Mr. Mitsotakis and Mr. Tsipras would only make sense if both had a strong chance of running for prime minister. However, even a possible dispute between all the leaders would not be aimed at governing the country, but would essentially turn into a struggle for everyone – except for the former prime minister – for the seats that they will occupy in the seats of parliament. opposition.

It is considered reliable that the Mitsotakis-Tsipras teleconference will not take place, as, probably, the debate with all the leaders will not take place.

At the same time, as far as his overall strategy is concerned, Mr. Mitsotakis is not going to significantly change the choice that led him to more than 40% of the vote in the May 21 elections. The main goal of Piraeus is to return to the polls those who voted for N.D. two weeks ago. Therefore, the former prime minister and “blue” officials:

“They will insist that the country needs a government with a strong parliamentary majority to keep the economy on an upward trajectory and to carry out major new reforms unhindered.

“They will increasingly shell PASOK, which will now appear as a party with either unclear positions or positions similar to SYRIZA.

“Front” N.D. it is clear with PASOK: after the results of the elections at the polling stations on May 21, the Greens are the party that can claim some of their former voters, who elected ND two Sundays ago, and are now relatively confident that even without their own vote, he will win in the upcoming confrontation. It should be noted that the strategy of Piraeus is promoted in many ways by the justified strategy of Harilaou Trikoupis to raise the tone of confrontation with N.D. And this, according to PASOK, if they are the main opponent of the ND. they will be able to repatriate old voters who have moved towards SYRIZA in the last decade (according to polls on May 21st, the PASOK inflow was estimated at about 3%).

With neophytes

It should be noted that Mr. Mitsotakis’ attempt to achieve political hegemony is partly due to Mr. Tsipras and Androulakis choosing to trust new and – in some cases – inexperienced leaders to be a “showcase” for SYRIZA and PASOK in the ongoing election campaign. Significantly, throughout the past week, the political confrontation has been centered on statements by leaders that were exploited by Piraeus, with PASOK largely on the defensive and Harilaou Trikoupis finally being forced to make clarifying statements regarding the possibility of promotion to ENFIA.

Mr. Androulakis makes it clear that he wants to create an image of a completely renewed and resilient PASOK. In addition, it is not considered a coincidence that after the non-election of Kostas Skandalidis and Andreas Loverdos, he ended up in the place of Haris Kastanidis in Thessaloniki. However, Alexis Tsipras’ decision to change on the fly the SYRIZA PR strike team, replacing prominent leaders with new and largely unknown “representatives”, is a very risky move. As already noted, exceptions hide the risk of further demobilization of SYRIZA in the last leg of the road to new elections. In addition, SYRIZA is in many cases “weak” in the battle for television windows, since N.D. behind the aura of a massive victory in the match on May 21, they clearly have more experience. Although, finally, there is always the risk of “own goal”, as happened with Giorgos Katrugalos and his reference to insurance premiums at the end of the previous pre-election period.

Author: Kostis P. Papadiojos

Source: Kathimerini

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