As “K” wrote yesterdayin ND they already have in mind the pitfalls that are in front of them second electionwhere the ballot boxes at 7am will be empty and must be filled with the correct result.

For her New Democracy the most negative scenario is a combination: first, there is a demobilization of its voters after the “net result” of the first elections, and it falls from 40.7% received on May 21 to a lower percentage.

After all, there is an approach that says that in the last elections, the ND has reached the “ceiling” and cannot rise higher, but will only remain at the same level or fall. In case N.D. lose some percentage absolute parliamentary majority it will depend on how much political parties they will enter parliament.

Desire N.D. is that the next parliament should be five-party, and they should be expelled from parliament again. Sailing freedom her Zois Constantinopoulou and the Nika party, which has reached the threshold of entering parliament.

If this happens, the self-sufficiency leverage will be about 37.5%, a percentage that even with the fall in ND. it is considered certain that he will achieve it.

However, if smaller parties manage to get into the next parliament, then the bar is raised and borderline situations can arise together.

For each party unit that enters parliament, the independence bar is raised by about 0.3%.

This means that if two more parties enter and the parliament is seven-party, then the majority will grow to 39.3%, and with eight parties – which is unlikely – closer to 40%.

In these two extreme cases, this means that for N.D. there is a risk that independence will be lost and it will not be able to reach the limit of 151 deputies.

For Piraeus, therefore, the double aim is not only to keep out of his interest rate, but also to disarm the smaller parties and keep them out of Parliament. Especially “Victory”, which moves in a more neighboring area than “Journey of Freedom”.