Home Politics Elections-2023: Surprises and a thorn in the left side

Elections-2023: Surprises and a thorn in the left side

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Elections-2023: Surprises and a thorn in the left side

Landscape in which they enter the last stretch of three weeks before May 21 Polls map the parties to fine-tune their strategy: as their main tool they use published and “secret” public opinion polls of the period, which for ND, SYRIZA and PASOK hide in some cases pleasant, and in others unpleasant “surprises”.

Among the party headquarters in connection with the upcoming elections, the general opinion is that N.D. tends to absorb most of the losses from the tragedy of Tempe, the stagnation of SYRIZA, which seems to have suddenly faced the “thorn” of the “left tenement building”, while the resilience that PASOK will show among the dilemmas that will be put under a question mark, so as the country enters the hard core of the pre-election period.

Maximos Palace’s key “plus” is that ND seems to be recovering, hovering around 32% in voting intent (Pulse for SKAI) and providing a “clear” difference to SYRIZA of around 6 percentage points. As a result, it is considered realistic to aim to approach 33%-35% in simple proportional elections with the ultimate goal of exceeding self-reliance in the second round on 2 July.

Also, a positive development for Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis is the fact that he appears to be winning the showdown of the Center against Alexis Tsipras. In a survey by Metron Analysis (“Vima”), among those who position themselves politically in the Center, N.D. receives 28.8% of the vote and SYRIZA 13.9%.

As the saying goes, Mr. Mitsotakis may be capitalizing on the “cloudy” government narrative of SYRIZA that moves between a government of winners, losers and a vote of tolerance, as well as an “unknown X” for the prime minister, attributed to Nikos Androulakis as strategies.

On the contrary, there are pitfalls for the “blue” camp on the last leg of the road to the elections, which, according to the authorities, require increased attention. In particular, the following areas are defined as gray areas:

• The risk that ND will get caught up in the stagnation that SYRIZA seems to be fixing. As the saying goes, “It takes two to dance fast.” If there is confidence that the ruling party will easily cut the electoral thread first, free voting conditions can be manifested that will ultimately undermine Megaros Maximos’s goal of a percentage-passport of self-confidence in the second round of voting. . It is no coincidence that Mr. Mitsotakis now consistently speaks not of two, but of one “single” election competition.

• Low flight recorded by N.D. to a special question to the doubting party “which choice are you closest to”. Of this body (it moves 11%, according to Pulse), ND was chosen by only 8% of respondents.

Persistence of divisions could cause complacency among potential ruling party voters.

As for SYRIZA, the “pluses” include its better image among the undecided (it was mentioned as a possible choice by 14% of respondents), as well as the fact that it confirms its superiority in the struggle of the new generation and weaker layers: in generation Z (17 -26 years old) SYRIZA is headed by N.D. from 19.5% versus 13% (Metron), while the working class (20.3% – 12.6%) and the small and middle class (24.8% versus 19.5%, according to Metron) are in the lead.

On the contrary, a double – and probably “interconnected” – problem for Kumunduru:

• Stagnation of the share of the official opposition party on the last leg of the road to elections. In fact, SYRIZA has recorded a slight decline since the beginning of April, falling from 26% to 25.5%, according to Pulse. As they say, if the feeling prevails that SYRIZA has no hope of winning the upcoming elections, it cannot be ruled out that some of its disillusioned voters will switch to other political parties or abstain.

• The high election flights carried out by the parties on the left of SYRIZA, in particular the KKE and especially MeRA25. Many have calculated that together KKE and MeRA25 will not exceed 8%-9% in the elections, while ignoring the fact that Mr. Varoufakis’s party will not be represented in parliament. However, they are currently moving 6% and 5% respectively (Pulse), with the undecided reaching 11%.

In fact, some link Kumunduru’s references to the government to the vote of tolerance, namely the threat from the left that SYRIZA is receiving. As they say, it is possible that Kumunduru seeks to “expose” Dimitris Koutsoubas and Janis Varoufakis with his refusal so that SYRIZA can be promoted as the only means to eliminate ND. from power, thereby compressing electoral losses towards specific areas.

Finally, the results of Harilau Trikoupi’s latest wave of polls also have a double meaning. It looks like PASOK, at least for now, has reached its goal of a net double-digit percentage. However, it does not develop upward dynamics and therefore faces the risk of losses due to polarization between N.N. and SYRIZA, which is likely to dominate the last three weeks of the election period.

PASOK’s pluses include the fact that it registers a high percentage (14%) among those who identify themselves as centrists.

On the contrary, a source of concern is the low effectiveness of Nikos Androulakis’s proposal to form a government of cooperation with a prime minister, who will not be either Mr. Mitsotakis or Mr. Tsipras. When asked “what will be better after the election”, Prime Minister Mr. Mitsotakis answers 38%, according to Pulse, Prime Minister Al. Tsipras 26%, while the “proposal of Prime Minister N. Androulakis” is gaining only 9%.

Recognition, not recognition

“You have to google them.” With this phrase, the prime minister presented his elected representatives for the state vote. “They are not celebrities,” he explained, since his selection criteria were their value – “recognition, not recognition.” and administrative previous service in the Mitsotakis administration.

The leader, psychologist Irini Agapidaki, was the national coordinator for unaccompanied refugee children before moving to the general secretariat of public health. Second, Deputy Finance Minister Theodoros Skilakakis symbolizes the government’s faith in four years of economic achievement. Thirdly, Christos Stylianidis, Minister of Civil Protection and former Commissioner of Cyprus to the EU.

Fourth, science policy, Ioanna Litrivi, Managing Director of the National Organization for the Certification of Qualifications. Five
The government officials are complemented by the Secretary General of Social Solidarity and the Fight against Poverty, Giorgos Stamatis. In sixth place is Nefeli Hatzioannidu, the entrepreneur who founded the Wonder Women. The ballot is filled in by Maria Polizou, former marathon runner, Georgia Vakharidis, lawyer, Nikos Papaioannou, Rector of AUTH, Nikos Koroyannakis,
lawyer from Brussels Maria Diamantopoulou, teacher from Paris Anna Castani, farmer from Magnesia, Porfilia
Kanellopulu, lawyer and CEO of ONNED. Antonis Sgardelis, a historical member of the ND and a former partner of Konstantinos Mitsotakis, was appointed to the last honorary position.

Author: Kostis P. Papadiojos

Source: Kathimerini

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