With two hidden “papers” that will be on the table in the coming days, i.e. their policy announcements and state ballots, and another one about manipulation during the investigation, which will begin to be revealed from the election night of May 21, Mr. Mitsotakis, Al. Tsipras and N. Androulakis at the end of the ongoing pre-election period.

Political leaders have chosen to personally handle the composition of government ballots with major fixed goals, especially for ND. and SYRIZA, a signal of bilateral expansion, as well as some “surprises” that will draw attention to their sides. In any case, after the proven “failures” in the formation of European ballots in 2019, the acquisition of state ballots takes on a different dimension. focusing on different areas:

At the heart of ND ads. a roadmap is expected to be found for raising public and private sector wages by 25% over the next four years. Komunduru, for its part, is investing in, among other things, a 50-day SYRIZA program, which is expected to include an immediate increase in revenues to compensate for ongoing inflationary pressures, as well as intervention in prices and in the first home defense field.

However, at the same time, political leaders are beginning to formulate their strategy for the “next day” of the polling station, which is associated with the launch of pre-orders for the formation of a government, since the system of simple proportionality excludes the scenario of self-nomination. -confidence. This is an extremely difficult and complex “exercise”, as the manipulations of Mr. Mitsotakis, Tsipras and Androulakis will shape the climate in which the country will go into another confrontation on July 2 with the new electoral law. The levers for forming a coalition government from the first elections will depend not only on the percentage and parliamentary strength of the parties in parliament, but also on the amount of those who will be left behind. With a percentage of non-parliamentary parties around 8%, it takes about 46% to form a coalition government, while for every unit that the percentage of parties outside parliament increases, the bar for forming a majority of 151 seats drops by 0.5%.

In light of the foregoing, Mr. Mitsotakis, Tsipras and Androulakis keep their cards completely closed. However, in the party corridors, as well as in public, possible scenarios for the next day are already being discussed, with the most typical example being the discussion within SYRIZA about the possibility of a “government of losers”.

N.D. and interest

The staffing of the state ballots takes on a different dimension after the proven “failures” in the formation of the 2019 European ballots.

In his public statements, Mr. Mitsotakis leaves all possibilities open: “I am not yet in a position to say what I will do with the mandate, because I do not yet know what the results of the elections will be,” this is a typical recent rejection. his. Government officials note that N.D. compensates for some of the losses suffered after the tragedy in Tempi, and they believe that the position of the prime minister will be determined by the election results of the ruling party. If, as they expect, ND is moving in percentages of the order of 34%-35%, they believe that it is quite possible that Mr. Mitsotakis will immediately return the research report that he receives from the President of the Republic, Katerina Sakellaropoulou. As they add, “with self-confidence on the horizon due to expected polarization and serious dilemmas over a second election, it would be pretentious for a prime minister to engage in discussions with other leaders when, from the outset, his strategic goal for the good of the country is to to avoid unsustainable forms of cooperation.”

However, in the case where the percentage of bipartisanship, and in particular ND, is lower, the above sources do not exclude Mr. Mitsotakis from using an exploratory mandate, even if it is numerically impossible to form a government with PASOK. As they say, a discussion with Mr. Androulakis could be useful in view of the second vote, while it is crucial to respond to SYRIZA’s “risk theory” that the country could be driven into successive electoral contests with NAD responsibility.

Two roads of SYRIZA

Despite the “government of losers” rhetoric, Mr Tsipras insists he will only attempt to form a government through a simple proportional vote if SYRIZA becomes the first party. However, this does not automatically mean how he will administer his mandate to investigate if he receives it secondarily from Ms. Sakellaropoulou. While President SYRIZA has wisely kept his papers closed, some in Komunduru are predicting that he will resubmit them immediately so as not to fuel, even temporarily, ND rhetoric. about monsters. As they add, in any case, the formation of a government with SYRIZA-second is practically impossible: firstly, the authority of Mr. Tsipras himself, who has repeatedly rejected this scenario, will be undermined. Secondly, Mr. Androulakis is not going to participate in the government with SYRIZA as a second party, since such a choice would cause centrifugal tendencies in PASOK. Thirdly, such a development would lead to the “gigantization” of N.D. as an opposition officer. On the contrary, other officials support the view that, even if there is no prospect of a government based on SYRIZA, Mr. Tsipras should, as part of his research mandate, conduct a round of contacts with political leaders in connection with the next elections. competition on July 2, with the exception, they add, of Mr. Mitsotakis.

PASOK and the third order

Finally, the closed papers, considering the correlations that will emerge from the May 21 vote, are also held by Mr. Androulakis, who is expected to play an active role in the investigative process, provided, as he said, that PASOK receive a strong double-digit percentage bet. Some have suggested – not excluding, of course, the opposite – that Mr. Androulakis may not respond to an invitation from the Prime Minister or the President of SYRIZA under their own mandate, as he will remain firm in the “neither Mitsotakis nor Tsipras” position to the end. However, he will have a meeting with the leader of the first party as part of the investigation that he will receive as the head of the third party in power. There he will discuss the prospects for government cooperation based on a program agreement with a third-party prime minister. In fact, the possibility of Mr. Androulakis talking to the head of the second party if the difference between the first and second parties – and therefore their parliamentary power – is small, or even examining the perspective of a three-party government in the context of the positions put forward by Harilaou Trikoupi , mainly on the fronts of institutions, health care and labor relations. On the contrary, PASOK excludes participation in a government scheme with the presence, as they call them, of Mr. G. Varoufakis’ “drachmists”.

Mitsotakis message on “clean solutions”

With yesterday’s visit of the Prime Minister to the President of the Republic, Mrs. Katherine Sakellaropoulou, the country officially entered the pre-election period. Mr. Mitsotakis submitted to the PT a cabinet act demanding the dissolution of parliament and calling elections on May 21, stressing that “essentially, the government has run out of four years and citizens will be able to evaluate our work and decide on the future”, wishing a fruitful confrontation of arguments, “far from being toxic”, while Ms Sakellaropoulou wished for “a calm and fruitful pre-election period for the good of the country”. Immediately afterwards, Mr. Mitsotakis, in his speech, referred to what had happened in four years – the positives but also the shortcomings – emphasizing the need for political stability “on an uncertain and unstable planet”, emphasizing that Greece needs “clear perspective and clear decisions in her leadership.” He added that the restoration of investment grade “combined with the need for a strong representation of the country at the international level” are key reasons for a clean mandate “away from the lies, dirt and empty slogans that will again besiege us.”