Changes in the “geometry” of the current pre-election period, which have yet to be proven whether they are temporary or have more permanent features, caused by Qatargate due to the involvement of MEP PASOK. Eva Kylie.

Party officials, amid the ongoing standoff over surveillance, are waiting for opinion poll results to clarify the case’s first impression of voter behavior. There are already fears that Brussels-centered corruption, coupled with the pressure exerted on vulnerable social strata by the energy crisis and precision, will lead to a “revival” of so-called anti-systemic voting. . As they say, after the traumatic three years of 2012-2015, the country seems to have returned to political normality. However, there is a risk that this image will be overturned and an electoral rise of extremes will be recorded if the domestic arena in an already highly polarized environment is dominated by the general discrediting of parties, political headquarters and the EU itself.

In any case, the Kailis case is already significantly changing the data of the pre-election period, as well as the choice of Nikos Androulakis to try to “charge” the “green” MEP in the ND. led to an open war between Megaro Maximu and Harilou Trikoupi, especially after the opposition of the President of PASOK to the transition of the ruling party to the opposition.

Government officials believe that Qatargate is pregnant for ND risks, but also offers significant opportunities. The risk is that the government will find itself isolated in the last phase of the upcoming dual elections, but also without a visible government partner, if the goal of self-reliance is not achieved. However, on the contrary, the image of the political “loneliness” of Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis can become a political advantage. In particular, it is said that the prospect of governmental cooperation between SYRIZA and PASOK could lead to increased ND mobilization, as well as an influx of new voters, especially in the first simple proportional ballot boxes, where there is fear of the manifestation of the so-called loose voting. This is considered decisive because Megaros Maximos needs a good “score” in the first electoral competition to exceed the 37.5–38% needed to pass the independence threshold in the second election. At the same time, PASOK’s “reunion” with corruption and scandals is estimated to be able to liberate voters who turned to Harilaou Trikoupi after Nikos Androulakis was nominated to the leadership, creating an additional electoral pool for ND.

The situation is clearly more difficult for Nikos Androulakis and Harilou Trikoupis, who, in addition to managing the morale of the Kylie case, have to deal with a double challenge:

Maximou believes that PASOK’s “reunion” with corruption may have an impact on voters who turn to Har. Trikoupi after the election of Androulakis.

• First, the “rebirth” of informal divisions within PASOK at all levels, including its own constituencies, among those who see positively the prospect of uniting with the ND. and those who qualify it as SYRIZA.

• Second, the expected increase in pressure on Mr. Androulakis to make clear what he will do in the next election if he lacks confidence and in particular if he decides to work with Alexis Tsipras.

It should be noted that there are assessments that the PASOK President’s decision to open a “front” with the Prime Minister, describing Eva Kylie as a “Trojan horse” of the ND, was incorrect. According to this approach, Mr. Androulakis should, after his immediate removal, keep this issue in the background and keep it at the forefront of the news, instead of supporting it by making it the central issue of the political confrontation with Megaros Maximos. However, Mr. Androulakis reportedly believes that his reaction was forced and that it will be justified in the medium term, as he believes that phasing out PASOK is now a strategic choice for the government camp.

Either way, SYRIZA could make a yet-to-be-proven profit from Kylie’s case. Alexis Tsipras sees the narrative of so-called progressive governance take on new life. At the same time, Komundura may be brought back to the fore by the story of the “moral advantage” over PASOK, as well as N.D. on the vehicle in case of telephone surveillance.

On the contrary, there are serious reservations as to whether Alexis Tsipras’s practically “one-sided” opposition will be able to give him a strategic advantage in the mass of undecided voters, on whom the outcome of the upcoming election battle will depend. Moreover, it is clear that the townspeople evaluate economy and accuracy as the most important problems.

It should be noted, finally, that Megaros Maximos assume that reports of wiretapping, either by EYP or using illegal Predator software, will continue into the next period. Also, an additional problem is the confirmation that MEP G.Kartsos and journalist T.Telloglu were under the supervision of the EMP. However, government officials argue, based on public opinion polls, that the political price is for the ND. manageable, although observation clouded his image, especially in the so-called central space. As the saying goes, a “coup” can happen if some moral question arises from what they see or see the light, as happened in the case of Patsis, who is estimated to have “harmed” the ND. more than wiretapping.