The result is not noticeable the first urn with a simple analogue, since the percentages that the parties will receive and the result that will be fixed will become a catalyst for political events in the light of the second round, which today looks almost certain. This is also the reason why Kyriakos Mitsotakis issued an unequivocal order to exclude the second election competition from the lexicon of his leaders with the new election law and the party and government apparatus to fight the battle of the first Sunday as if it were the last.

The main thing for her New Democracy this is the percentage that will be “written” on the first Sunday so that it conveys the feeling that the self-confidence goal is achievable. The difference with the second batch – because. N.D. this first is not the most important rate for the government, but the percentage as such that the party will receive.

Because simple proportional elections will largely determine the dynamics of the parties in the run-up to the second election.

For example, in Maximos Palace they would prefer a result on the order of 34% for ND. and 29% for him SYRIZA, despite a 30% result for N.D. and 24% for SYRIZA. “The main thing for the government is to get closer to the percentage of independence before the second vote,” explains “K” government official. The high percentage of the first Sunday will create a political substratum for the second meeting and will create the corresponding dynamics. In fact, according to Maximos, if the first vote yields a positive result, which shows that the New Democracy can claim self-confidence, then three new facts will be created in the interval between the two elections: first, the ruling party will be significantly strengthened. and it will unite much faster, secondly, there will be an influx of voters from PASOKbut also wider than those who want stability, not adventures and, thirdly, SYRIZA, not being able to win again in the second election, will dissolve.

The scenario described above will be completely different if New Democracy moves into the 30% area on the first Sunday and SYRIZA is slightly lower. Then the scenario that will take shape with the second vote will be very different, as the pressure will be transferred to the government camp, since the possibility of relying on one’s own forces will seem extremely difficult. On the contrary, the opposition will feel that, either through cooperation or on its own, it will be able to more convincingly demand “political change” and the overthrow of the Mitsotakis administration.

Finally, with regard to PASOK, the result of the first vote is more of an existential nature for the party of Nikos Androulakis. A percentage of over 12% will give him the right to feel that he has not just raised the stakes, but has established himself between the two big ones as a regulator. However, with a lower percentage due to a runoff, PASOK could be squeezed even more as its choice will be seen by voters as a lost vote under the weight of a polarized bipartisanship.