Who wins and who loses from the political crisis caused by its disclosure monitoring from Nikos Androulakis from EYP;

Based on this question, the political scene is being restructured, the central “players” of the political scene are redefining their positions, and new strategies are unfolding with a dual purpose.

However, interlocutors from across the political spectrum agree on this: the day after exposure is a new day on the political landscape. Many facts of the past week have been turned upside down, and almost all scenarios have been laid out on the table in terms of political moves and initiatives, possible surprises, alliances and alliances, public and underground clashes. Central to all debates, and arguably the determining factor in many individual actions, is the widely held belief that government relations N.D. and to PASOK-KINAL. What does this mean for potential future collaborations.

The key question to be asked is whether the Andrulaki case will serve as a fuse to speed up political developments. That is, if the scenario of early elections works again. From the very first moment, the government quickly accepted any relevant report. But is it? “Public opinion polls in the next period will clear up the picture,” said the veteran politician. The August elections are suddenly of great importance. “The government is now moving with an eye on the International Exhibition in Thessaloniki. By that time, the outcome of the case will be recorded in the measurements, and it will be decided what can be given as an allowance. Decisions will be made on their basis, ”adds our interlocutor. With an asterisk: that the carousel of revelations ends here and will not continue. It is believed that the opposite development of events will inevitably fundamentally change the facts and cause upheavals. Revolutions that are already taking place to some extent. A politician with significant experience in crisis management believes that the events of the previous days are creating a “crisis of confidence and ethics,” which, he adds, “will create a serious problem of cooperation as the confrontation between the parties moves from the realm of politics to the level of personal and moral” .

On his place SYRIZA they believe that for the first time since 2016, favorable conditions are being formed for turning to a centrist political space. “For the first time, Kyriakos Mitsotakis was left without an interlocutor and a potential ally in the Center. And this makes it difficult for him to maneuver, because it was clear that he did not want to turn to the right in search of a possible ally to form a government. Such a thing completely reverses the political profile that has been steadily cultivated for so many years and threatens the infiltration of the SI. in the center,” one of the leaders of Koumoundourou assesses. And there, in the possibilities studied by Koumunduru, they do not exclude attempts to increase pressure on PASOK-KINAL and on its leaders, who firmly stand on the prospects of cooperation with ND. To increase so much that this may even lead to split Is it possible?

The old political instructor seems to agree with the scenario of restructuring party boundaries. “It will depend on developments and the depth of the case, but we may see movements within N.D. Maybe we will see another ND become a partner of the PASOK-KINAL part,” he estimates. The same top manager is confident that the struggle for dominance in the Central area will become much tougher. And there, since the bridges at the leadership level between N.D. and in PASOK-KINALE split, in his estimation, there will be an attempt to co-operate with individual leaders, not necessarily politically active at the moment, but ensuring their co-operation will reinforce the centrist profile that is constantly cultivated by the leadership of the ND. and who is “crumpled up” by the wiretapping case.

“Public opinion polls in the next period will clear up the picture,” said the veteran politician.

“There are several candidates. An important reservoir is the centrists,” potamists “, left-centrists. However, it is not homogeneous. And with new data, camps are being formed in this area, and indeed with a sharp confrontation, almost of a football type,” he says. “They will probably all be asked to choose a side. In any case, what was formed as an ‘anti-Syrian-pro-European front’, the wiretapping case, has split it, created cracks that are unlikely to be repaired,” he adds. In this context, experienced observers of the events did not go unnoticed by the loud intervention of Evangelos Venizelos, who characterized the surveillance of Androulakis by the EMP as illegal and questioned all actions and statements of the government in this case.

In Harilau Trikoupi

In this landscape, in Harilau-Trikoupi, they obviously see a good opportunity to gain a foothold in the political space they are claiming. Shake off the category of “equal distances”, form a coherent political narrative, independent of the aspirations of the new bipolarity. This is clearly recorded in relations with ND, where the break seems to be final. This is also recorded in relation to SYRIZA. At the same time, the PASOK-KINAL leadership group expects that the distancing from the choice of government and the rhetoric of a number of centrist officials such as Mr. Venizelos will influence a centrist audience favoring Kyriakos Mitsotakis.

Komunduru would have preferred a more coordinated SYRIZA and PASOK-KINAL stance, which would clearly show that the government is isolated and cornered. SYRIZA says it will support any PASOK-KINAL initiative, be it a proposal for a commission of inquiry or any other institutional intervention. However, there is no lack of criticism of the position of Harilaou Trikoupis and personally Nikos Androulakis, to whom they attribute the strategy of “one step forward and half a step back.” That is, he does not seem to want to make a complete and final break with the government and its choice. As SYRIZA characteristically stated, “Androulakis filed a complaint that seriously exposes the government, but he did not ask for his resignation. He left in the middle what he started.”

However, SYRIZA sees the wiretapping case as a great opportunity to expand its appeal. “An ongoing problem since 2019 is that far fewer people are listening to us than we should be. That people who are dissatisfied with the government and are looking for an alternative do not attach importance to what SYRIZA says. This is an echo of a government term, as well as a lack of self-criticism on our part,” says a SYRIZA representative.

War of the Examiners

In Kumunduru, they believe they have found in the Androulakis case a “vehicle” to reach out to the citizens again and even to the issue of democratic rights and gains, which is in line with their own profile and on which to build their common political narrative and succeed. to be heard. SYRIZA will insist on holding elections. And one of the reasons, with regard to the establishment of a commission of inquiry, is the possibility that the government will present its own proposal, which will also require an investigation into the period of SYRIZA. Since Panagiotis Lafazani is already talking about being watched by the Tsipras government, Koumunduru believes that the ball will be lost in the general fuss due to “everyone doing the same thing”, which will ultimately benefit the government.