The current general analysis of these two described situations is a continuation of many technical analyses, documents and rationaleseconomic reports sent to interested parties (presidency, parliament, ministries of energy, environment, Transelectrica, ANRE, associations, etc.) that showed the necessity (much more than the feasibility!?) of storing electricity with CHEAP (eg Tarnica-Lapustest) ) in Romania. Even here at the Contributors, the issue of wind turbines and intermittent solar has been presented thoroughly enough to give a good understanding of their impact, both positive and negative, on the SEN (National Energy System)

When, finally, we thought things were moving in a normal direction (Ministry of Energy’s announcement that the Tarnița-Lăpustesti project would be reviewed), here comes the GD for CfD legislation, still without any energy strategy or, at least, any analysis impact of this regulation on SEN.

Reading this HG and its rationale, I noticed that 2000MW of SEN is expected to be introduced in 2025 and another 3000MW by 2030, so a total of 5000MW of intermittent wind and solar! (in addition to the approximately 4,500 MW that already exist and what will be built in addition by 2030 – especially from “distributed”

Under these conditions, we personally (like other co-authors) became curious, if not worried, what will happen to us before and after 2030, imagining, simulating and already knowing that:

1. 10,000 MW of periodically renewable sources requires at least 1700 MW of storage capacity (!), if we take for granted the analysis of other experts in the planning of integrated energy systems, who say that at 6 MW, intermittent RES A storage device with a capacity of 1 MW is required. I mean, today, in 2023, we should already have Tarnita, and in 2030, we should have “another Tarniță”, knowing that it takes about 6-7 years to realize it!
2. 10,000 MW of intermittent renewables, if implemented (I personally hope not!), without storage, “will not be included in the SEN” and, if the other new capacity programs, CHP, HPP and RES, are indeed implemented, then most of the green wind and solar energy will be exported (I say most, because there will be no cross-border capacity available) and, even worse, through CfD, will be paid for by the Romanian state, or, if there is a “curtailment” (interruption or “0” price), then they will still be paid by the Romanian state, but, and even worse, by Romanian consumers!

Let’s analyze below whether our “concerns” are justified or, simply, we do not understand the intricacies of the functioning of the “energy bank”, planned by the Ministry of Energy and regulated by NARE:

1. How CfD works (excerpt from HG):

“…pay for difference stands for CfD payment made under a CfD contract:

• by the CfD counterparty (NA stands for Romanian State) for the CfD beneficiary, which is based on the amount of electricity delivered in the metered SEN benefiting from the CfD and is calculated based on the difference between the execution price and the reference price, in situations where the base price is lower than the execution price;

or

• by the CfD beneficiary to the CfD counterparty, which is based on the amount of electricity delivered in the metered SEN benefiting from the CfD and calculated on the basis of the difference between the base price and the execution price, in situations where the base price is higher than the strike price;

Since the Romanian government did not even bother to “depersonalize” the text of the GD, but accepted (swallowed) it like pelicans, without removing from the footer the page of origin of the document -UK – 683261283.1, (ie some consultants who from “Brexit” sent by the EBRD to teach us CfD) then I reproduce a graphic example from the UK of what HG says above in b) where STRIKE PRICE is the “strike price”. –

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