The publication of this text is due to two reasons. This is stated in the final part of the article published on Friday, June 9. In any case, the article was large and full of figures in its published form, and an extension with three large figures and additional text could have affected the attention and interest of readers. On the other hand, the past and future population of the country can also be read in the three figures presented in this application. You can see to what extent and with what consequences the past population is in its future and how it shapes it.

The age pyramid is the most famous graph in demography. It is easy to create, easy to understand and extremely, extremely useful and easy to understand for analyzing the age structure of the population in the past, present and equally in the future. In this unknown “territory”. We try to imagine it, build it, paint it optimistically when black clouds are outlined.

Below are the age pyramids in 2022, 2050 and 2075 for the population of Romania.

Pyramid for 2022 it has several deformations in width, the expression of important fluctuations in the number of births over the last hundred years. I have also indicated on the vertical scale the generations corresponding to the ages so that the years of change in the number of births can be determined.

We could say that there are three large parts of the pyramid, divided by variations in birth rates. The low birth rate during the years of the Second World War, the generation 1940-1944, in the age marked A, the low birth rate in 1957-1966, in the age marked B. The second part consists of the older generations 1967-1989, in the age marked I and the third section refers to the generations born after 1989, whose age is marked D. Wide variations in the birth rate mean a different age population over time, with all the consequences: different school enrollments, fluctuations in the economically active population and labor market disruptions, large retirement incomes with all the budgetary consequences. If we try to see to what extent the variation in birth rates comes from the decisions of the spouses, we are probably only in case B. The war years were the years of mobilization (passing with arms), separation of spouses, deprivation and insecurity, years of war. The years 1967-1989 were the years of the old regime’s brutal and coercive pro-natalist policy. Instead, the years 1957-1966 were years of deep political, economic and brutal social changes with the establishment of a communist regime, years of agricultural cooperation, industrialization and mass urbanization, during which the young population left the countryside en masse. Free access to abortion (imported without measure from Moscow) specified the decision to postpone the birth of a child, to have only one child, or to have no children. That’s how many years after the Second World War the attitude to birth control in our country. Its establishment opposes the recovery of the birth rate in most European countries. In the 1950s and 1960s, these countries saw a noticeable recovery of the birth rate, which had been delayed during the war years, and which lasted until the mid-1960s (year Baby boom).

In the pyramid of 2050 section A of the generations born during the war years disappears, and sections B and C in the pyramid of 2022 are translated into ages 28 years older and in numerical reduction due to mortality. Section D of 2022 generations 1990-2021 is added to Section E-small generations 2022-2049. Looking at the pyramid as a whole, you can see the ratio between the elderly population, aged 60 and over, and the adult and young population.

Pyramid of 2075 it is a very special, massive population of elderly people, a population of working age and a population of young people, which is shrinking significantly, the regularity of numbers by age. It is brighter than the other two pyramids, it shows where the prospective type leads And if. – Read the entire article and comment on Contributors.ro