On Friday, the INS released jobs data: about 39,900, with an average of 449,000 unemployed. This means 11.25 unemployed for one unfilled job. Hundreds of thousands of people complain they can’t find work, and tens of thousands of companies say they can’t find workers.

Labor supply and demand in Romania are completely separate; more and more graduates will have jobs that do not match their studies

Labor supply and demand in Romania are separate; According to a report recently published by Cedefop, the European Center for the Development of Vocational Training, more and more graduates will have jobs that do not match their training.

Despite the growing supply of college-educated workers, there will be difficulties filling these jobs, and these difficulties will result in workers with college degrees being offered lower-level, non-college-required jobs than the qualifications they hold.

The bad part is that the job is not necessarily in the region where the unemployed live, and the qualifications required for the job do not match the training of the job seekers.

That’s right, for about two million Romanians, distance is not an obstacle, so they agree to commute.

About a third of them work in a county other than where they live, and two-thirds work in a different area than the county where they live.

In Ilfov, passengers make up almost 50% of all workers who most likely come to work in the capital. Next comes the county of Dambovitsa, where, according to statistics, passengers make up more than 44% of the employed population. Giurgiu and Jalomitsa are the next “pools” of passengers.

The case of Mr. Ionescu

Mr. Ionescu is one of hundreds of thousands of unemployed. He worked as a bank clerk until the institution let him go. Ionescu worked in a small provincial town where everyone knows everyone. There are vacancies in this city, but mr. Ionescu refuses positions that he considers inferior to his dignity. “With 6,000 lei a month, I cannot hire myself as a seller in a boutique with 2,000 lei a month,” he says. It is clear.

Ionescu is also trying to find work in the financial sector and has contacted other banks in the city to offer his services. For now he is waiting. This is waiting for unemployment.

The case of Mr. Popescu

Mr. Popescu worked in marketing. Sales, more precisely. He was engaged in the sale of products of the curtain and bed linen factory. It’s what he does for a living, it’s what he’s good at. The business no longer worked, so he stayed on the road. There would be another similar factory about 200 kilometers away where he could get a job, but how could he leave his wife and children and move almost 200 kilometers from home? His job application will not match the job offer in the near future. And the country is full of Popesti and Ionesti.

The case of Mr. Constantinescu

A former top corporatist with a salary of thousands of euros for many years. He saw half the world. A young man (hired by him some time ago) came and spoiled his work. Now he lives on what he collected during the years of leadership. He has not worked for 3 years and does not want to drop below a certain salary level. Wait ’til something comes for me,’ he says sadly. That something is not in a hurry, because the world has changed.

What affects him the most is that he is no longer invited to parties where he was once considered the soul of the party.

The case of Mr. Nicescu

Family, two children. Each spouse works abroad for 6-9 months a year. I charge about 1000 EUR/net/month. With the money collected THERE, they increase their farm HERE. He works there illegally. He is in the carpentry business, she is in the social sphere.

They are not registered as unemployed, they are not counted as employed, because they are not. They don’t want to settle there (with some effort they could), because “it’s better to take her here, for THEIR money.” But even here he will not grow old, because only the blind cannot see where the country is going.

“Let’s not complain for now, we’ll see what happens,” they say in unison at the barbecue offered to the neighbors. The next day they were going to go abroad again because they ran out of money.

The number of working-age population over 65 in 2035 will triple compared to the working-age population now

The population over 65 who will be working in 2035 will triple compared to those currently working, Professor Dr. Catalin Ginararu in an interview with HotNews based on data from Cedefop, one of the decentralized agencies of the European Union, which periodically makes forecasts on the labor market . The share of the elderly population will exceed the 30% threshold, confirming the serious aging process in the country.

30 years ago, their share barely reached 13%, says a Romanian researcher, an expert called by the European Commission when discussing the labor market in Romania.

“The good part is that the employed population is growing and will increase by around 1% per year, which means an annual growth above the EU-27 average,” explains Gineraru. A researcher estimated 30 years ago that we will have to face the problem called “multicultural Romania” and fill the vacant positions with immigrants brought from abroad.

Nea Vasile manages a small vineyard near Pietroasele-Buzeu. This year he had no one to pick grapes with, although he offered each picker food, drinks, cigarettes plus 150 lei net/day. He had vacancies, as the statisticians would say. It was simply not interesting to the locals, so Nea Vasile had to buy a machine for harvesting grapes so as not to be left with unharvested grapes. In total, there were about 40,000 unfilled or, better said, uninteresting jobs for local residents in Romania this fall.

The population of Romania will decrease by 9% in the period 2020-35. The EU predicts a “sharp” decline in the population aged 15-54 and an increase in the population aged 65 and over

Changes in the labor force in Romania in the next 10 years will be determined by the aging of the population and the increase in the participation rate in most age groups.

Romania’s total labor force will grow by 6% between 2020 and 2035, compared to a 6% decrease over the past 15 years, according to Cedefop data seen by HotNews.

In addition, the overall participation rate in Romania will increase by 9 percentage points. in the period 2020-35, compared to growth of only 1 p.p. for EU-27. This is in conditions where the total population will decrease by 9% in the period 2020-35, as it decreased by 8% in the period 2005-2020

There will also be problems in education, as the EU agency that made the forecast estimates a “rapid” decline in the 15-54-year-old population in Romania, while the population aged 55-59 and 65 and over will grow. strong.

The participation rate of all age groups over 20 in Romania will increase significantly in the next 10 years, but the largest increase is predicted for the age group 60-64 (34 p.p.).

Similarly, the level of participation in the labor market will increase for women by 11 percentage points and for men by 7 percentage points in the period 2020-2035.

Projections are for 4.7 million jobs to be filled, including 700,000 new jobs and 4 million job vacancies as a result of layoffs/retirements

Employment growth in the manufacturing industry will be relatively fast, with dynamics of more than 2% per year in the period 2022-30.

On the other hand, employment in the primary and utility sectors, which account for about a quarter of employment in Romania, mainly in agriculture, is estimated to decline by 5% per year over the same period. In the administrative and support services sub-sector, employment is projected to decline by 0.8% per year over the period 2022-30.

In distribution and transportation, employment in the major subsectors of wholesale and retail trade (15% employment), land transportation (5% employment), and accommodation and food (3% employment) will grow significantly in the 2022 period. -2030, according to Cedefop data.

The same will happen in the manufacturing of cars, food, beverages and tobacco, while employment in textiles and leather is forecast to fall sharply

The number of vacant jobs shows the number of vacant jobs as a result of newly created jobs and those left vacant as a result of the dismissal (due to resignation or retirement) of the persons who occupied them.

In most professions, with the exception of agricultural and fishing workers, the number of jobs will increase.

Projections show 4.7 million jobs to be filled, with 706,000 new jobs and 4 million jobs becoming vacant as a result of layoffs/retirements.

In industry, vacancies for executive directors, senior officials, and managers will decrease, and the number of middle-level occupations will increase: assemblers, clerks, and salespeople.

In industry, vacancies for executive directors, senior officials, and managers will decrease, and the number of middle-level occupations will increase: assemblers, clerks, and salespeople.

The number of professions that do not require high qualifications will also increase, with the exception of workers in the mining industry, construction and transport.

The share of skilled workers will also grow slightly more slowly, from 23% in 2022 to 27% in 2035.

The market share of middle-skilled workers will also increase slightly, from 61% in 2022 to 65% in 2035. Compared to the EU-27 average, Romania performs poorly in high-skilled jobs and above-average jobs with medium skills.