When the urn spoke, plans, calculations, estimates, scenarios for the next day “burned out” in a bulldozer election result. The actual result showed that there are very few opportunities provided by new parliament to form government cooperation.

And it also turns out that, based on the percentages formed yesterday, the achievement self confidence For N.D. this will be an easy task in the next election when the first party seat bonus comes into effect.

For example, if non-parliamentary parties have an aggregate percentage of 10%, the first party achieves independence with 37.5%.

schematically, for each unit that increases the share of non-parliamentary parties, the leverage of the first party decreases by 0.3-0.4%.

These numbers become especially interesting since this is considered a one-way street. second ballot box. And that’s because the correlations that emerged from yesterday’s election campaign make the participants in the events either unwilling or unable to enter into a partnership discussion.

There does not appear to be a cooperation government on the part of the Northern North. Himself Kyriakos Mitsotakis he has already made it clear that he has nothing to discuss with PASOK, the most likely partner.

At the same time, however, from PASOK priority is given to a re-election contest, as the party believes that favorable conditions are being created for a significant improvement in its percentage and opportunities for a more complete restructuring of the political scene.

If N.D. and PASOK decided to cooperate, their government will gather more than 180 seats. Theoretically, N.D. also could form a government in cooperation with the Greek solution.

What is absolutely “burning” is the ability of SYRIZA to move in the direction of exploring the prospects of forming a government, as it suffered a decline in percentage terms.

Three reasons for the “blue” triumph

Stavros Papantoniou

The historical result of yesterday’s elections with a difference of more than 20 points, as is logical in Piraeus, was greeted with great satisfaction, but also in an undertone. The main reasons that led to the crushing victory of N.D. it is a function of what the government did both during the four-year period and, most importantly, during the pre-election period.

The first assessment shows that the reasons leading to the overwhelming prevalence were the following: FirstlyMr. Mitsotakis has been focusing on a positive narrative and future throughout the pre-election period, in contrast to his opponent Mr. Tsipras, who has invested in what is called gray advertising. It turned out that the established rule is that citizens vote based on the future, not on what happened or didn’t happen in the past.

The actions of the government, the presence of Kyriakos Mitsotakis and the “clear words” for tomorrow were reflected in yesterday’s result.

OUR The second reason this is due to the turnout exclusively in the pre-election period. On the other hand, New Democracy had many leaders throughout the pre-election period who were perfectly disciplined and delivered the general message without error.

In an axe. against the opponent, the same did not happen, with the main mistake at the last moment by Giorgos Katrugalos. The result was the formation, on the one hand, of a “blue army”, fully coordinated along a single line, and on the other hand, the creation of Babylon without a common message, culminating in the different positions of the next government, in contrast to the clear message of self-confidence that he had have ND

OUR third reason it refers to a term of office over a four-year period. N.D. not only did she not lose in absolute terms any of the votes received in 2019, but she increased her percentage. The main reason is that the citizens who voted for Mr. Mitsotakis in 2019 “were not disappointed” as the prime minister showed “consistency in words and deeds”, according to party sources, and indeed in very unfavorable conditions due to world crises. This, combined with SYRIZA’s complete inability to make a convincing proposal, brought concrete results.