A new poll shows that the French far-right has a good chance of achieving the best result in the European Parliament (EP) elections.

The far-right National Assembly (RN), led by MEP Jordan Bardella, could get 33% of the vote, while the Reconquête formation [„Reconchista”] according to a survey conducted by consulting firm Portland Communications and provided to Politico, his estimate is 6%.

This means that RN is way ahead of the Ensemble Center alliance! which also includes President Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance party, a coalition with a miserable 14%.

The survey was conducted online at the end of January – when France was in the midst of large-scale farmers’ protests – on a “nationally and politically representative sample” of 1,034 people, Rador Radio Romania quoted it as saying.

The survey was repeated with similar sample sizes in Italy, the Netherlands, Germany and Poland with similar results.

The far-right is expected to make significant gains everywhere except in Poland, where Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s liberal Civic Coalition won 35% of the vote.

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) is expected to win 17% of the vote, up from 11% in 2019.

“The EU is going into this election with a deeply pessimistic citizenry,” company director Victoria Dean said, saying voters were “concerned about problems that are difficult to solve.”

In France, Germany, Italy and Poland, the crisis of living standards ranks first among the concerns of the electorate, and in the Netherlands – the housing crisis.

At a very close distance, immigration ranks second in voters’ priorities in France, Germany and the Netherlands. In Italy and Poland, medical care ranks second.

In all countries except Poland, people are dissatisfied with the direction in which their state is moving.

France and Germany, which have centre-right and centre-left governments, have the highest share of dissatisfaction, with 68% and 66% respectively believing their country is “on the wrong track”.

In all five countries, respondents said they would vote based on domestic rather than European political considerations – a common occurrence in European elections where the debate tends to focus on national issues.

Germans vote the most, guided mainly by pan-European considerations, but this is only 15%.

Politico (acquisition of Rador Radio Romania)