The losses of heavy equipment suffered by Russian forces near Avdiyvka could “undermine Russia’s long-term offensive potential,” say analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

The losses of the Russian military in Adviivka are more than a hundred destroyed armored vehicles and thousands killed and wounded.

As Russian forces continue to send reserves to the eastern front, ISW says equipment losses will become a serious problem.

The Russian command will likely find it difficult to compensate for the loss of Russian equipment, particularly armored vehicles, the ISW analysis says.

ISW pointed to the catastrophic consequences of a shortage of Russian equipment in 2022, the first year of the war.

The US think tank said losses and shortages of Russian equipment would severely limit Russia’s ability to conduct effective mechanized maneuver warfare during the 2023 winter-spring offensive by Russian forces, contributing to further casualties during mechanized disorganized attacks near Vugledar in the Donetsk region in January and February. 2023 year.

These losses, in turn, did not allow Russian troops to conduct similar mechanized assaults in other regions of Ukraine.

The equipment losses suffered by Russia around Avdiivka even exceed those suffered during the winter and spring assaults, ISW claims.

But it remains unclear whether the prospect of further losses of heavy equipment will deter the Russian command from another series of large mechanized assaults near Avdiivka, the Institute for the Study of War notes.

Russia’s military setbacks near Avdiivka are likely to lead to even greater shortages of Russian equipment and failures, ISW notes.