NEW YORK. Her confidence that the next five years will be the warmest in human history is expressed in United Nations International Meteorological Office (WMO)due to its combination El Niño climate phenomenon and exhaust emissions.

For the first time, world averages temperature they are expected to increase by 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2027. However, the organization points out in its report that this is not the end of the law and that it is still possible to limit the temperature increase below the set 1.5 degrees. set the Paris Agreement of 2015 as the ceiling.

The WMO has found that the El Niño event will play a role in the rise in temperature. On the other hand, the La Niña event, which dominated meteorologically for three years until the end of March, is limiting the rise in temperature.

However, El Niño is expected to cause an increase in water temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean, warming both hemispheres of the Earth. “El Niño will combine with anthropogenic climate change to push global temperatures to uncharted heights. This will have serious implications for health, food security and the environment. We must be ready,” said WMO chief Peter Tolas.

Speaking to Al Jazeera, Jamila Mahmoud, a physicist and climate expert at the Malaysian Climate Change Council, said: “I understand that risk affects all of us, whether you live in the northern hemisphere or the developing world. No amount of action or campaigning by organizations is enough at a time when government policies around the world are favoring fossil fuel extraction. We need to reconsider the reasons that lead to such inaction.

The United Nations International Weather Service predicts an average temperature rise of 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2027.

The WMO report made me angry. We are facing what the UN calls the “Uncertainty Syndrome”. How can you write down and accept these numbers every year and wonder why the number of humanitarian crises is increasing?”

“For the first time in history, there is a 66% chance of a 1.5 degree Celsius rise in temperature – even temporary –,” said Adam Skeife, head of long-range forecasting at the Met Office, who contributed to the report. WMO.

The UN agency has concluded that one of the next five years has a 98% chance of being the hottest in modern history, surpassing 2016, when the Earth’s average temperature rose by 1.3 degrees Celsius. Contrary to the climate projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Changing of the climatewhich are based on estimates of future emissions, WMO forecasts are based on long-range meteorological forecasts.

The 2015 Paris Agreement set a long-term goal to limit greenhouse gas emissions and limit temperature rise to two degrees Celsius. The likelihood of a 1.5 degree Celsius rise in average temperature has increased as greenhouse gases heat the oceans and cause rapid ice melt.