Derby is expected to turn on strong nerves elections in Turkey.

According to the latest Metropoll poll, the leader of the opposition Kemal Kilicdaroglu collects 46% against 44% brought together by the President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Also Sinan Ogan collects 2.6%oh oh Muharrem Ince 1.2%.

In terms of vote count, Kılıçdaroğlu is one breath ahead of victory in the first round as he collects 49.1%. Erdogan is following me 46.9%.

This is the first time Mr. 74-year-old Kilichdaroglu claims the presidency “personally” as a candidate against the 69-year-old Erdogan, having on its side an unprecedentedly diverse “National Alliance” of six political forces (CHP, İYİ, Saadet, DP, DEVA, Gelecek), which become seven if the HDP pro-Kurdish supporters of Kilicdaroglu will be added in his fight for the presidency, and not the “National Alliance” of the “six” (HDP takes part in these elections through the environmental / leftist party Yesil Sol – YSP, supporting the candidates of the “alliance” “Alliance of Labor and Freedom” for the seats in the Turkish National Assembly).

Presidential ones that preceded this one

For the sake of history, we recall that in the presidential elections of 2018, the CHP ran with candidate Muharem Inc, and in the first presidential elections of 2014, with her chosen one, Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu. This candidacy of Ihsanoglu at that time, a decade ago, was lined up by the Kemalists (CHP – Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu) and the nationalists (MHP – Devlet Bahceli)… This was the time before the political “marriage” of Erdoğan – Bahceli and the birth of Erdoğanism. People’s Alliance.

However, since then, much has changed in the political arena of Turkey against the backdrop of the emergence of new political forces that have emerged as a result of the split of pre-existing factions.

Some of these new forces come from Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party – AKP (see DEVA and Gelecek), others from the Nationalist Action Party – MHP (see İYİ) and still others from the Republican People’s Party – CHP (see Memleket) . there are also many smaller parties that are expected to influence the final outcome of the upcoming dual (presidential and parliamentary) elections.

Differences from the past

In 2023, its former top ministers such as in this case Mr. Ali Babacan (DEVA) and Ahmet Davutoglu (Gelecek).

In 2023, Erdogan goes to national elections for the first time… “losing” (already in 2019) the mayor’s offices in Ankara and Istanbul, which came under the control of the CHP, with mayors Ekrem Imamoglu in Istanbul and Mansur. Yavas in the capital.

In 2023, Erdogan is running for national elections… counting unprecedented blows (after the devastating earthquakes of February 6), decline (after two consecutive decades in power) and hard-to-heal wounds in the economy (runaway inflation, current account deficit, declining foreign exchange reserves and etc.), but also in foreign policy.

Key persons

Erdogan vs. Kilicdaroglu: So the “work” of the conflict between them is different this time for reasons that are not only related to the two presidential candidates themselves, but also to what and who surrounds them, be it conditions and situations. or faces.

In other words, the faces of the upcoming elections, as well as the post-election period that will follow in Turkey, are not only the faces of the two main presidential candidates, but more. What is this;

Muharrem Ince – Sinan Ogan

The former CHP presidential candidate (in the 2018 elections) is running for president again, but this time in the car of his own newly formed party (Memleket)… against Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.

Sinan Ogan, who hails from the nationalist MHP and is backed by some of the smaller nationalist parties, completes the quartet of presidential candidates.

Of course, Inje and Ogan have no hope of being elected. However, both are shown together to gain about 7%, which means that their voters will influence the final outcome of a possible second round of the presidential elections between Kılıçdaroğlu and Erdoğan on May 28, if we do go for the second round, which is likely to take place. .