Manhattan jury convicted him Donald Trump guilty of sexual assault and defamation of journalist Jean Carroll.. It’s another episode in Donald Trump’s tumultuous political path to the presidential primaries and, more broadly, a landmark decision regarding the profile of the Republican tycoon and former president.

CNN, which is trying to analyze the political impact of the decision against Trump, estimates that, on the one hand, there is no immediate threat to his candidacy for the Republican nomination, on the other hand, that some Republicans are expressing doubts and questions about how much the face of the former President is suitable to represent the Republicans in the upcoming elections.

Consequences in the Republican camp

North Dakota Senator Kevin Kramer told CNN he was concerned about whether Trump is the best candidate. At the same time, the decision of the Manhattan court casts a heavy shadow on the long-suffering issue for Republicans of electoral influence on women voters.

“I don’t think he will win the election. This will likely lead to defeats in the House and Senate,” Republican spokesman Don Bacon said, predicting “black clouds” over the Republican camp if Trump wins the nomination.

CNN notes that a review of modern US political history demonstrates that any other presidential candidate after such a decision could not run politically. It is noted that Trump will face other open judicial investigations – the criminal prosecution in the case of funding Stormy Daniels has already been “launched”, and an investigation into the possible involvement of the ex-president in an attempt to challenge the results of the 2020 elections is under consideration. therefore, the fact that Trump is not thinking about withdrawing from the race is evidence of both his personal intra-party dominance and his negative “contribution” to redefining the rules of political decency, more broadly, in the US political system.

CNN, however, points out that so far no one can predict with certainty the consequences of the court decision for Trump’s future. Given that the trial was civil and not criminal, it is clear that Trump is not in danger of going to jail.. Moreover, it is considered certain – based on what the recent past has “taught” – that by the time we get to the election, Trump will be preoccupied with public opinion with new “adventures” that could make his current conviction a “distant memory.” “.

However, it is expected that there will be a more direct impact on intraparty field. So far, Trump’s opponents for the Republican nomination are pursuing a strategy of hushing up the “achievements” of the former president. The main contenders prefer to create their own profiles without “pissing off” Trump fanatics. And while there are voices expressing outrage and exhaustion at Trump’s actions, the polls and politics don’t seem to be influential or mainstream.

Chapter “Women Voters”