New data on the political scene is taking shape Supreme Court decision to block Kasidiaris’s party in the upcoming national elections. Formation of her former deputy leader golden dawnaccording to all opinion polls recently shows that he will enter the next parliamentthereby reducing the percentage of non-parliamentary parties and raising the independence bar to almost 38%, maybe a little more.

The facts have changed now, with his party Ilias Casidiaris be out of the fray, and attention should be focused on how the voters who chose the Hellenic party will move, as well as what the parties will pursue in the last stage after such a development.

Goals

IN New Democracy ideal scenario after solving it Supreme Court lies in the fact that the votes of the Kasidiaris party are distributed among smaller right-wing parties that will remain outside parliament. This is what will determine the percentage of self-reliance, because as soon as the percentage of parties outside parliament approaches 10%, the leverage of self-reliance drops to about 37.5%, and at an even higher percentage, about 12%, then confidence in his forces falls below 37%, a percentage that Maximos considers quite possible in the second election.

On the other hand, to SYRIZA they watch with skepticism. In terms of purely electoral interest, the ideal scenario for SYRIZA would be the successful passage of one of the right-wing parties into parliament, which would increase the ND’s self-reliance leverage. In addition, as some sociologists point out, it is easier for Kasidiaris party voters to move to SYRIZA than to ND, which they consider, together with PASOK, the main reason that Kasidiaris will not fall, while they consider the governor’s party to be a system party. .

According to sociological surveys, potential voters of the formation are not going to choose N.D. or PASOK.

Apartment building on the right

Kyriakos Velopoulos, who throughout the previous period avoided even mentioning the name of Ilias Kasidiaris by choosing the description “prisoner”, undoubtedly sees a window of opportunity to raise his stakes, as in Northern Greece all measurements showed that the Kasidiaris party is closely watching her Greek solution.

Accordingly, the party of Mr. Zimerou and Kranidiotis, which lately seems close to 2%, has the opportunity to win over part of the voters of Kasidiaris, as well as part of the voters of the Emfezoglu-Bogdanos party, as well as Aphroditis Latinopoulos, building up its momentum. The fact that Ilias Kasidiaris’ lawyer said after the Supreme Court decision that Kasidiaris did not intend to issue a statement of support for another party ahead of the election makes the situation more volatile.

Finally, Mr. Kanellopoulos’ EAN party does not currently show that it is developing with the same dynamics as the Hellenes party, however it is “stinging” after the publicity received and appears at the 1% limit, hoping to increase its interest over the past 20 days .

Controversy over decisions

It was firmly established in SYRIZA that the government methodically excluded all the parties it did not like and felt threatened, and kept the parties it liked. Yesterday from Tripoli, Mr. Tsipras said this bluntly, referring to the “closed group of judges” who decided “who can go down and who can’t” because, as he said, their goal was to control which parties from the right-wing apartment building will participate in the elections. The government’s reaction was immediate: Mr. Schertzos accused the President of SYRIZA of “failing to hide his concern that the Kasidiaris party did not get into Parliament”, accusing him of an unprecedented attack on the country’s Supreme Court, naming the entire plenary session section A1 “closed group of judges”.