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Elections: local battles with paradoxes and surprises

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Elections: local battles with paradoxes and surprises

A vivid picture of the pre-election landscape, with aspects eluding the all-Russian impressions of public opinion, is captured by local sociological polls of the last interval. brought to the attention of “K”. The measurements come from candidates for deputies, as well as from candidates for self-government, as well as gallops that took place centrally but were focused on local issues. It is not safe to draw general political conclusions.

However, there are indications that N.D. it is easier for her to keep her forces on the periphery than in the large urban centers without a corresponding strengthening of SYRIZA, which shows decline. PASOK seems to be doing better in the region, but still far behind in Attica. The rally of all parties is lower than in 2019.

Eastern Macedonia and Thrace

At the northeastern tip of Greece, the percentages formed in 2019 on average across five prefectures – Evros, Rhodopi, Xanthi, Kavala and Drama – were as follows: New Democracy got 41.2%, SYRIZA got 28.05%, PASOK got 11. 93%. , Hellenic Solution at 4.88%, KKE at 3.27% and MeRA25 at 2.47%. Today N.D. loses an average of 3 units. Large losses seem to be recorded at Evros, where it goes from 45% to 38%, which also explains the recent visit of Mr. Mitsotakis. SYRIZA, due to its position on the fence, seems to be down from 27.55% by almost 10 points and has PASOK in close proximity. N.D. losses they are certainly also moving to the right, with Mr. Velopoulos flirting with double figures, and the party of Ilias Kasidiaris showing the highest percentage in the country, approaching 8%. In other prefectures, the derby recorded in “Drama” and “Rhodope” between SYRIZA and PASOK is noteworthy. In the drama in 2019, SYRIZA was over 22% and PASOK was 12%, and today both sides are about 16%, and in Rhodope both parties are about 20%. With the exception of Drama, where the Hellenic solution is raised to 7%, in all other prefectures the percentage of Kasidiaris’ party seems to be the same, and in some cases even higher, than that of Mr. Velopoulos.

Continent

Epirus was in 2019 one of the regions where N.D. and SYRIZA had some of the most minor differences, apparently due to the origin of Alexis Tsipras. On average, for four prefectures – Ioannina, Arta, Preveza and Thesprotia – N.D. received 40.49%, SYRIZA 35.54% and PASOK 9.87. In a recent continent-wide poll, the two main parties seem to be losing roughly the same amount of 3-4 points, with N.D. fluctuates around 36% and SYRIZA around 31%. PASOK also shows that its percentage share exceeds 12% in this region.

Ionian

In the Ionian Sea in 2019, N.D. and SYRIZA were nearly equal to the national percentages. And now two main parties appear in the measurements with approximately the same losses, with ND. rise to about 36% (from 39.8%), and SYRIZA to 28% (from 31.6%). PASOK also recorded gains in the region, moving into double digits and outperforming KKE, which also gained over 9%. A typical example is Corfu. N.D. in 2019 it received 35.14% and is now hovering around 31%, while SYRIZA is declining from 34.41% to around 30%. PASOK rises from 7.5% to double digit percentage.

Peloponnese

The Peloponnese is a traditional powerhouse for the centre-right, and this was demonstrated in 2019 when N.D. received an average of 44.41% in five prefectures – Arcadia, Argolis, Laconia, Messinia and Corinthia – with SYRIZA at 27.23%. PASOK was at 11.72%. Today the picture has not changed much, with N.D. on average about 40% lose 4 points, while SYRIZA moves about 22%, with the lowest percentage recorded in Laconia (16%) and Argolis (20%). PASOK seems to have double digit percentages – a typical example is Arcadia which “captures” 14%, while the Kasidiaris party also appears mainly in Laconia with over 4% percentages and in Corinthia with over 3%.

Attica

In the largest region of the country, N.D. shows a noticeable fall, but SYRIZA does not threaten him. The biggest problem revealed for N.D. in the most popular suburbs and in the 1st district of Athens.

Northern Sector: In 2019, N.D. received 45.81% and SYRIZA 28.22%. There is no upheaval of the political scene with ND in current opinion polls. moves about 39%, losing 6 points, SYRIZA loses about 4 and is at 24%, while PASOK is approaching a double-digit percentage.

Southern sector: south of Athens shift between N.W. and SYRIZA is closed in relation to 2019. Then N.D. received 39.49%, SYRIZA 32.03%, KNG 7.13%, PASOK 5.72%, MERA25 4.44% and Hellenic Solution 2.99%. The measurements that became known to “K” give an average of 37% in N.D. and 31%-32% for SYRIZA, while PASOK rises but falls short of the double-digit percentage that is a big target, moving towards 9%. The rest of the parties move in the same percentage.

Western sector: in 2019, SYRIZA ranked first with a share of 38.6%, while N.D. received 29.69%. Today, SYRIZA is well below the 2019 percentage, hovering around 30%, while the ND drops by about 3 points. Here, too, the fall of SYRIZA is partly due to the rise of PASOK.

Eastern Attica

In East Attica, which is showing a population explosion and even gaining two more seats, N.D. shows a drop compared to 2019 by more than 4 points. In particular, from 43.13% in 2019, it is about 38%. SYRIZA with 29.6% is much lower, in the region of 20%-21%, and PASOK with 5% “crawls out” for 9%.

Western Attica

Western Attica is another region where SYRIZA won with 36.24% in 2019, and N.D. received 34.28%, and the KKE third with a percentage of 5.93%. They are followed by KINAL with 5.24%, Hellenic Lysi with 5.24% and Golden Dawn with 4.62%. Today, opinion polls show that there will be a derby between the two main parties. PASOK has an uptrend but was very low in 2019 anyway and Kasidiaris is also over 3%.

Athens

In Athens, whose population is constantly declining, N.D. he seems to be losing a significant amount of his strength. With 42.32% in 2019, it is currently below 35%, while SYRIZA with 31.29% is at the 25% limit. The rate is the percentage of PAS, which out of 5.16% seems to pass 9%.

Piraeus

Piraeus, with its two different faces, the city center and the “popular” B’, is always a barometer. In Piraeus, N.D. received 43.73% in 2019, ahead of SYRIZA by almost 14 points, which had 29.72%. In the latest ND measurements, it is moving much lower, around 33%, and SYRIZA is also lower, around 23%. More than 3% are also the party of Casidiaris, as there are many maniats in Piraeus. In the 2nd Piraeus in 2019, SYRIZA received one of the biggest distinctions from N.D. prevails with 38.22% against 30.19%. According to the latest measurements, SYRIZA is about 30%, and ND. dropped to 25%. Here, PASOK has “signs of life” approaching a double-digit percentage.

Thessaloniki

Thessaloniki, as sociologists “K” say, began to “Afinize”, losing the traditional features of Northern Greece. This was noticed in 2019 when the once omnipotent N.D. and with the recent Prespa deal, it received 35.52% against SYRIZA’s 31.31%. KINAL got 6.05% and Hellenic Solution over KKE got 5.39%. Today’s picture shows that the two parties have moved even closer not because of the rise of SYRIZA, but because of the fall of ND, with Kyriakos Velopoulos holding on to power and Kasidiaris seems to be close to 3%, while PASOK is hovering around 8%.

In Second Thessaloniki, the difference between the two parties is still great. N.D. in 2019 it received 43%, SYRIZA 25.14% and PASOK 6.65%. The difference remains large today, with ND dropping to around 40% and SYRIZA having no advantage. PASOK has a good rating and is around 9%. And here Velopoulos and Kasidiaris demonstrate the usual dynamics for Northern Greece.

Western Greece

Western Greece is an important region where, on average, in 2019, the three prefectures of N.D. received an average of 36.47%, SYRIZA 36.32% and KINAL 11.31%. In Achaia, where SYRIZA ranked first with 40.27%, measurements show that it is below 32%, while PASOK, with 8.91%, shows an upward trend reaching 14%. N.D. from 32.43% in 2019, this is below 30%. In Ilya in 2019 we had a derby when N.D. received 36.03% and SYRIZA 34.82%. It looks like North Dakota will take the lead again as PASOK’s share rises from 14.79% to around 16.5%, bringing SYRIZA down to around 30%. In Etoloakarnania the difference of 8 points was reduced.

Western Macedonia

N.D. loses about 4 points (from 42.9% in 2019), SYRIZA 3 (from 30.8%) and PASOK, with the exception of Kastoria, moves in the other three prefectures between 13% and 14%.

Crete

Once a green island, now pink, this time there may be enough blue on Election Night, which will be associated not with the rise of the ND, but with the Androulakis area, which leads, with the exception of Chania, to major battles. with SYRIZA. In the chair of Dora Bakoyannis, PASOK is moving low, around 12% – up from 6.54% in 2019 – and N.D. will fight with SYRIZA. Also, in Rethymno and Agios Nikolaos, SYRIZA and PASOK are close to 20%, while in Heraklion, SYRIZA’s lead seems a foregone conclusion, albeit with a notable drop from the 43.22% it received in 2019.

Thessaly

Thessaly is dominated by Larisa, where N.D. in 2019 it won by about 8 points – 39.3% against SYRIZA’s 31.25%. The decline today looks about the same for every batch, while PASOK moves from 8.79% to over 10%. There is no upheaval of the political scene in Trikala, Magnesia and Karditsa, with N.D. keep the lead and PASOK, with the exception of Magnesia, move into double digits.

Central Greece

In Central Greece, in Phthiotis, Boeotia and Evia, the picture does not change compared to the picture presented by the rest of Greece, with a northwesterly direction. to lose a larger percentage than SYRIZA compared to 2019 in Phthiotis, where it rose from 43.79% to about 37%, but retained the top spot.

islands

In the Dodecanese, Cyclades and in the northern Aegean, the picture is approximately the same as in 2019, with a northwestern border. the biggest losses were recorded in Lesvos, where from 39% to 33%.

Author: Stavros Papantoniou

Source: Kathimerini

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