In the previous article, we calculated how much production capacity can be expected in 2026.

My colleague at Contributors.ro, Cătălin Dragostin, who closely follows everything that happens in the energy industry, pointed out that GEO 108 / 2022 says exactly what I assumed: we can no longer rely on coal power, which are mentioned at the beginning. 4:

From Mintia’s experience, we know that almost everything that means “technical reserve” is actually completely non-functional, that is, incomplete, and the good parts have been moved to similar operating installations.

In other words, leaving Rovinari 3 and Turceni 7 (660 MW) from December 2022, we can really say goodbye to these groups listed “for conservation”. The capacities with the remaining 1965 MW, Turceni 4 and 5, Isalnita 7 and Rovinari 4, 5 and 6 will be able to operate for several more years.

Knowing that the water treatment equipment (from the CEO) is no longer operating at full capacity means that the corrosion rate is much higher and the other capacities have no longevity. Due to the fact that the honorable Parliament of Romania lowered the retirement age for energy and mining workers, they can retire after 25 years of work, it is clear to all that from 2026 all coal plants will reduce their capacity. until closing.

In the same GEO 108 / 2022, we are assured that instead of 2,625 MW, 2,060 MW will be commissioned, of which 1,325 MW are highly efficient cogeneration facilities and 735 MW are photovoltaics.

The first problem is that the Romanian state has not been able to commission 430 MW from Jernut for many years. Since no steps have been taken to start up these new capacities to date (March 2023), we do not believe that even in 2029 they will not be operational, knowing how the tender bureaucracy works (and there is a lot of it: for conducting tenders for technical and economic substantiation, for the design of objects, for equipment and for the construction of production facilities).

Second: even if the 8 announced PV parks that will be located on landfills (unlikely to work in dusty and windy conditions) will be ready sooner, let’s not forget that we are actually multiplying these MW by the power factor that Romania had last year was 11%, so we can bet on 80MW that are interrupted when the sun rises and sets. Read the whole article and comment on Contributors.ro