Russian dissident. Alexey Navalnyimprisoned for more than two years, stated that the military defeat of his Kremlin is “inevitable” in Ukraineand in the coming days it will be a year since the massive attack of the Russian army on Kyiv.

“A decisive military defeat (in Ukraine) may again be delayed at the cost of hundreds of thousands of military lives, but ultimately it is inevitable,” Navalny said in a message posted by his team on social media today.

How realistic is the “defeat of Russia” scenario?

There is no doubt that Putin’s war in Ukraine had devastating consequences for Russia as well. Losses on the Russian side in the war are estimated at about 200,000 people.

Moreover, the conscription of some 300,000 more Russians has, at best, slowed down Ukraine’s counteroffensive to retake territory that Russia has placed under its control. In recent weeks, the Kremlin’s losses have been particularly heavy and demoralizing.

In meetings he held in Brussels with his NATO counterparts, US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said, among other things, that a possible Ukrainian counterattack in the spring “could make a big difference on the battlefield.” “”. In fact, on the sidelines of the same conference, General Mark Milley declared that impoverished and isolated Russia had already been defeated.

“Russia is now a pariah of the international community, and the world continues to be inspired by the courage and strength of Ukrainians,” Mili said. In short, he said that Russia “lost on a strategic, operational and tactical level.”

But despite these claims, the war does not seem to be drawing to a close. Analysts attribute this, in part, to Putin’s personal resolve – and delusions.

^{According to AFP, Washington Post, APE – MEB}