Exactly one week later, next Tuesday, November 8, Americans will go to the polls to change the majority in both houses. Congress.

All of its (total 435) seats House of Representatives and 35 out of 100 places Senate they go out to the polls.

The results will determine a new majority in the two houses of the US Congress. It is expected, however, that this majority, in turn, will make life harder or easier for the American president (depending on the outcome). Joe Biden in the White House until the next presidential election, expected in two years, in November 2024.

Mid-term elections are held in the middle of a four-year presidential term, two years after the last presidential election (2020) and two years before the next one (2024).

gentlemen Joe Biden as well as Donald Trump is not running for office next Tuesday. However, the election results are expected to have a decisive impact on themselves and their factions.

Democrat Biden, for his part, clearly does not want to face a politically hostile Congress in the next two years. The people elected to Congress “will have a great influence in what[Байден]can do in the remainder of his first term,” writes Amber Phillips in the Washington Post. Because if Republicans secure a majority in one or both houses of Congress, then they will also have the power to block more forcefully what the Biden administration is pushing at the federal level.

Trump, on the other hand, would like to see his candidates republican the party he supported in the intraparty primaries should do well in the midterm polls, securing seats in the House of Representatives and the Senate, as this will strengthen his own position within the party, and with it the possibility of running another presidential candidacy of his own before the 2024 election. .

As it stands, the Democrats narrowly control the majority in the Senate and the majority in the House of Representatives by a margin of less than ten seats. However, this may change in a week from today.

If there is any “tradition” in the American electoral annals, then this “tradition” wants the party that controls the White House and the presidency to be “punished” by voters every time by losing seats in the midterms.

Polls

Republicans are currently leading the overall race for Congress, but also by about one percentage point, 46.2% to 45.2%, according to polling summary data released by the American website FiveThirtyEight.

There are polls that show the two parties are equal (46-46%: Morning Consult), others give the Republicans an edge of up to seven percentage points (49-42%: Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research) and others. giving the Democrats a four-point lead (50%–46%: Big Village).

States that will decide the outcome

However, the election battles for seats in the House of Representatives and the Senate are decided not at the federal level, but individually by voters and by the results of elections in each state separately.

The American network CNBC highlights ten battles that will decide which party will accept the Senate. In particular, we are talking about the battles in which the candidates of the main factions will fight: Colorado, Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

CNN narrows down, in its own analysis, the most important battles for the Senate to four: those that will be fought in Nevada, Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania.

According to CNN, results in these four states (Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania) and two more (Michigan, Wisconsin) will be critical to the final balance in the House of Representatives.

Especially Pennsylvania is of additional interest as Turkish-born Republican and Turkish (dual) citizenship compete for Senate seat Mehmet Oz with a democrat John Fetterman.

Problems

As for the issues that voters consider most important on their way to the election, according to a recent October poll (an ABC News/Ipsos poll), they are in order, starting with the most important: economy, inflation, abortions and armed violence (violence with the use of firearms).

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