About 78,800 babies were born in Romania in the first half of the year, 14,000 less than in the first 6 months of last year, according to data sent on Wednesday by the National Institute of Statistics.

The number of deaths registered in June 2022 decreased, both compared to June 2021 and compared to the previous month (May 2022), and the number of marriages increased both compared to June 2021 and compared to May 2022, and the number of divorces decreased compared to June 2021, but kept the same value compared to May 2022.

The demographic decline that we have been witnessing for several years (and which is happening in almost all of Europe) will change the economic, social and political geography of Romania, given the fact that we will have more and more elderly voters who will need financial assistance and special social services .

Population forecast until 2060

The age structure of the population confirms the process of demographic aging, caused mainly by a decrease in the birth rate, which led to a decrease in the young population aged 0-14 and an increase in the share of the elderly population aged 65 and 65. finished

According to the INS, the share of the elderly population (age 65 and older) of the total resident population increased from 14% to 19% in 2020 and will increase to nearly 30% in 2060.

The working-age population (15-64 years) is the main segment of the labor force supply. This segment is in decline, with the share of the total resident population falling from approximately 69% to 65% in 2020 and is estimated to reach 57% in 2060.

In the average scenario of permanent population planning by residential area, the population will decrease by 2060 by approximately 300,000 people in the urban environment and by the same amount in the rural environment.

In the territorial profile, the permanent population in the Bucharest-Ilfov region will register the smallest decrease -11.1% (both in the urban environment, -10.6% and in the rural environment, -15.4%) during the years 2017-2060, the rest regions that have a much larger decrease, from 21.7% (north-eastern region) to 48.8% (south-western region of Oltenia) in the urban environment, and in rural areas from 21.5% (north-eastern region) up to 49.0% (south-eastern region). Western Oltenia region).

The largest decrease in the male population, almost to half of the permanent male population, can occur in the regions of South-West Oltenia (-50.9% in the urban environment and 51.4% in the rural environment) and South Muntenia (-44.0% in the urban environment and -44.6% in rural areas). The smallest decrease is projected in the Bucharest-Ilfov region (-10.4% in the urban environment and -15.4% in the rural area), followed by the North-East region (-21.4% in the urban environment and -21.6% in rural areas).

In the case of the projected female population, the situation is similar, the largest decrease may occur in the same regions as in the case of the male population, respectively in the regions of South-Western Oltenia (-46.9% in the urban environment and 46.6% % in the rural area ) and South Muntenia (-42.4% in the urban environment and -42.2% in the rural area), and the lowest in the Bucharest-Ilfov regions (-10.8% in the urban environment and -15.4% in the rural environment) and the Northeast (-22.0% in the urban environment and -21.5% in the rural environment).